Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced alongside Republican state Sen. John Braun from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary to face off in the November 3 general election for the competitive WA-03 seat. The district carries a Cook PVI of R+2 and has produced narrow margins in recent cycles, with Perez securing reelection by under two points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, citing Perez's incumbency advantage, moderate voting record, and polling that shows the matchup near even. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears to weigh these structural factors more heavily than Republican efforts to nationalize the contest around issues like border security and crime.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWA-03 House Election Winner
WA-03 House Election Winner
$27,021 Обс.
$27,021 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
11%
$27,021 Обс.
$27,021 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,328 Обс.
88%
Republican Party
$9,693 Обс.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced alongside Republican state Sen. John Braun from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary to face off in the November 3 general election for the competitive WA-03 seat. The district carries a Cook PVI of R+2 and has produced narrow margins in recent cycles, with Perez securing reelection by under two points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, citing Perez's incumbency advantage, moderate voting record, and polling that shows the matchup near even. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears to weigh these structural factors more heavily than Republican efforts to nationalize the contest around issues like border security and crime.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$27,021Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced alongside Republican state Sen. John Braun from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary to face off in the November 3 general election for the competitive WA-03 seat. The district carries a Cook PVI of R+2 and has produced narrow margins in recent cycles, with Perez securing reelection by under two points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, citing Perez's incumbency advantage, moderate voting record, and polling that shows the matchup near even. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears to weigh these structural factors more heavily than Republican efforts to nationalize the contest around issues like border security and crime.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$27,021Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Marie Gluesenkamp Perez advanced alongside Republican state Sen. John Braun from Washington's August 4, 2026 top-two primary to face off in the November 3 general election for the competitive WA-03 seat. The district carries a Cook PVI of R+2 and has produced narrow margins in recent cycles, with Perez securing reelection by under two points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, citing Perez's incumbency advantage, moderate voting record, and polling that shows the matchup near even. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing appears to weigh these structural factors more heavily than Republican efforts to nationalize the contest around issues like border security and crime.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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