Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District after winning a crowded March 2026 primary to succeed retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, while John Elleson prevailed in the Republican primary. The district, encompassing northern Chicago suburbs including Evanston and Skokie, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins and carries solid-Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Biss reflects this structural advantage, the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A scheduled September 24 candidate forum offers one remaining platform for direct comparison before the November 3 general election, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific issues would need to emerge to alter the current implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$31,625 Обс.
$31,625 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Daniel Biss (D)
95%
John Elleson (R)
5%
$31,625 Обс.
$31,625 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Daniel Biss (D)
$17,371 Обс.
95%
John Elleson (R)
$14,254 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District after winning a crowded March 2026 primary to succeed retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, while John Elleson prevailed in the Republican primary. The district, encompassing northern Chicago suburbs including Evanston and Skokie, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins and carries solid-Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Biss reflects this structural advantage, the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A scheduled September 24 candidate forum offers one remaining platform for direct comparison before the November 3 general election, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific issues would need to emerge to alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$31,625Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District after winning a crowded March 2026 primary to succeed retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, while John Elleson prevailed in the Republican primary. The district, encompassing northern Chicago suburbs including Evanston and Skokie, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins and carries solid-Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Biss reflects this structural advantage, the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A scheduled September 24 candidate forum offers one remaining platform for direct comparison before the November 3 general election, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific issues would need to emerge to alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$31,625Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Daniel Biss secured the Democratic nomination for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District after winning a crowded March 2026 primary to succeed retiring Representative Jan Schakowsky, while John Elleson prevailed in the Republican primary. The district, encompassing northern Chicago suburbs including Evanston and Skokie, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins and carries solid-Democratic ratings from multiple forecasters. Trader consensus at 94.5 percent for Biss reflects this structural advantage, the absence of major recent developments that would narrow the gap, and limited Republican infrastructure in the area. A scheduled September 24 candidate forum offers one remaining platform for direct comparison before the November 3 general election, though late developments such as unexpected national shifts or candidate-specific issues would need to emerge to alter the current implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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