The strong Democratic lean of Illinois' 9th congressional district, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Jan Schakowsky's retirement created an open seat, yet Daniel Biss secured the Democratic primary in March 2026 against notable challengers, positioning him as the clear general election favorite over Republican John Elleson on November 3. The district's urban and suburban voter base in the Chicago area has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. A national Republican wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high independent turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on structural fundamentals and historical patterns in comparable seats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-09 House Election Winner
IL-09 House Election Winner
$23,266 Обс.
$23,266 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$23,266 Обс.
$23,266 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,765 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$6,502 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Illinois' 9th congressional district, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Jan Schakowsky's retirement created an open seat, yet Daniel Biss secured the Democratic primary in March 2026 against notable challengers, positioning him as the clear general election favorite over Republican John Elleson on November 3. The district's urban and suburban voter base in the Chicago area has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. A national Republican wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high independent turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on structural fundamentals and historical patterns in comparable seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,266Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of Illinois' 9th congressional district, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Jan Schakowsky's retirement created an open seat, yet Daniel Biss secured the Democratic primary in March 2026 against notable challengers, positioning him as the clear general election favorite over Republican John Elleson on November 3. The district's urban and suburban voter base in the Chicago area has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. A national Republican wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high independent turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on structural fundamentals and historical patterns in comparable seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$23,266Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of Illinois' 9th congressional district, reflected in its D+19 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Jan Schakowsky's retirement created an open seat, yet Daniel Biss secured the Democratic primary in March 2026 against notable challengers, positioning him as the clear general election favorite over Republican John Elleson on November 3. The district's urban and suburban voter base in the Chicago area has delivered large Democratic margins in recent cycles. A national Republican wave, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually high independent turnout could narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on structural fundamentals and historical patterns in comparable seats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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