Former U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary for the open IL-08 seat vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi, who lost his U.S. Senate bid that day, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party over Republican Jennifer Davis at 8.5%. The district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index, 53%-46% Democratic presidential margin in 2024, and Krishnamoorthi's prior 57%-43% reelection victory reflect its Solid Democratic rating. Bean's experience from 2005-2011, endorsements including Nancy Pelosi, and $1.6 million in pre-primary fundraising bolster her edge, with no general election polls yet amid a quiet post-primary period ahead of the November 3 contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-08 House Election Winner
IL-08 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,046 Обс.
90%
Republican Party
$2,421 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Former U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary for the open IL-08 seat vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi, who lost his U.S. Senate bid that day, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party over Republican Jennifer Davis at 8.5%. The district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index, 53%-46% Democratic presidential margin in 2024, and Krishnamoorthi's prior 57%-43% reelection victory reflect its Solid Democratic rating. Bean's experience from 2005-2011, endorsements including Nancy Pelosi, and $1.6 million in pre-primary fundraising bolster her edge, with no general election polls yet amid a quiet post-primary period ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,467Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Former U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary for the open IL-08 seat vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi, who lost his U.S. Senate bid that day, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party over Republican Jennifer Davis at 8.5%. The district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index, 53%-46% Democratic presidential margin in 2024, and Krishnamoorthi's prior 57%-43% reelection victory reflect its Solid Democratic rating. Bean's experience from 2005-2011, endorsements including Nancy Pelosi, and $1.6 million in pre-primary fundraising bolster her edge, with no general election polls yet amid a quiet post-primary period ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$4,467Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Former U.S. Rep. Melissa Bean secured the Democratic nomination in the March 17 primary for the open IL-08 seat vacated by Raja Krishnamoorthi, who lost his U.S. Senate bid that day, driving trader consensus to an 89.5% implied probability for the Democratic Party over Republican Jennifer Davis at 8.5%. The district's D+5 Cook Partisan Voting Index, 53%-46% Democratic presidential margin in 2024, and Krishnamoorthi's prior 57%-43% reelection victory reflect its Solid Democratic rating. Bean's experience from 2005-2011, endorsements including Nancy Pelosi, and $1.6 million in pre-primary fundraising bolster her edge, with no general election polls yet amid a quiet post-primary period ahead of the November 3 contest.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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