Democratic incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s suburban voter base across Burlington, Mercer, and Monmouth counties has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by Conaway’s unopposed primary win and established legislative record as a state assemblyman and physician. Republican nominee Michael McGuire, a Marine Corps veteran and former New York City police officer who prevailed in the June primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated as safely Democratic by independent forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and the typical advantages of incumbency, including fundraising, name recognition, and constituent services. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters could narrow the gap, though such outcomes would represent significant departures from recent electoral patterns in the district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-03 House Election Winner
NJ-03 House Election Winner
$26,418 Обс.
$26,418 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$26,418 Обс.
$26,418 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,895 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$13,523 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s suburban voter base across Burlington, Mercer, and Monmouth counties has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by Conaway’s unopposed primary win and established legislative record as a state assemblyman and physician. Republican nominee Michael McGuire, a Marine Corps veteran and former New York City police officer who prevailed in the June primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated as safely Democratic by independent forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and the typical advantages of incumbency, including fundraising, name recognition, and constituent services. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters could narrow the gap, though such outcomes would represent significant departures from recent electoral patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,418Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s suburban voter base across Burlington, Mercer, and Monmouth counties has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by Conaway’s unopposed primary win and established legislative record as a state assemblyman and physician. Republican nominee Michael McGuire, a Marine Corps veteran and former New York City police officer who prevailed in the June primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated as safely Democratic by independent forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and the typical advantages of incumbency, including fundraising, name recognition, and constituent services. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters could narrow the gap, though such outcomes would represent significant departures from recent electoral patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,418Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Herb Conaway holds a commanding position in New Jersey’s 3rd congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election. The district’s suburban voter base across Burlington, Mercer, and Monmouth counties has consistently supported Democratic candidates in recent cycles, reinforced by Conaway’s unopposed primary win and established legislative record as a state assemblyman and physician. Republican nominee Michael McGuire, a Marine Corps veteran and former New York City police officer who prevailed in the June primary, faces structural headwinds in a seat rated as safely Democratic by independent forecasters. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district’s partisan baseline and the typical advantages of incumbency, including fundraising, name recognition, and constituent services. Late developments such as a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or unusually high turnout among Republican-leaning voters could narrow the gap, though such outcomes would represent significant departures from recent electoral patterns in the district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання