Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+40—the most Democratic nationwide—has delivered overwhelming victories for Democrats in recent cycles, including 99% in 2024 amid incumbent Dwight Evans' retirement announcement last June. The open seat features a competitive Democratic primary on May 19 among candidates like state Rep. Chris Rabb, state Sen. Sharif Street, and state Rep. Ala Stanford, who lead in fundraising, while no Republicans appear on the primary ballot. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 94% implied probability due to the district's entrenched urban Philadelphia base in North and West Philly, historical lack of GOP viability, and recent candidate forums underscoring Democratic momentum. A commanding lead persists absent a post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee withdrawal, or unprecedented national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPA-03 House Election Winner
PA-03 House Election Winner
$12,920 Обс.
$12,920 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$12,920 Обс.
$12,920 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,383 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$5,538 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+40—the most Democratic nationwide—has delivered overwhelming victories for Democrats in recent cycles, including 99% in 2024 amid incumbent Dwight Evans' retirement announcement last June. The open seat features a competitive Democratic primary on May 19 among candidates like state Rep. Chris Rabb, state Sen. Sharif Street, and state Rep. Ala Stanford, who lead in fundraising, while no Republicans appear on the primary ballot. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 94% implied probability due to the district's entrenched urban Philadelphia base in North and West Philly, historical lack of GOP viability, and recent candidate forums underscoring Democratic momentum. A commanding lead persists absent a post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee withdrawal, or unprecedented national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,920Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+40—the most Democratic nationwide—has delivered overwhelming victories for Democrats in recent cycles, including 99% in 2024 amid incumbent Dwight Evans' retirement announcement last June. The open seat features a competitive Democratic primary on May 19 among candidates like state Rep. Chris Rabb, state Sen. Sharif Street, and state Rep. Ala Stanford, who lead in fundraising, while no Republicans appear on the primary ballot. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 94% implied probability due to the district's entrenched urban Philadelphia base in North and West Philly, historical lack of GOP viability, and recent candidate forums underscoring Democratic momentum. A commanding lead persists absent a post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee withdrawal, or unprecedented national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the PA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$12,920Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pennsylvania's 3rd Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+40—the most Democratic nationwide—has delivered overwhelming victories for Democrats in recent cycles, including 99% in 2024 amid incumbent Dwight Evans' retirement announcement last June. The open seat features a competitive Democratic primary on May 19 among candidates like state Rep. Chris Rabb, state Sen. Sharif Street, and state Rep. Ala Stanford, who lead in fundraising, while no Republicans appear on the primary ballot. Trader consensus prices Democrats at 94% implied probability due to the district's entrenched urban Philadelphia base in North and West Philly, historical lack of GOP viability, and recent candidate forums underscoring Democratic momentum. A commanding lead persists absent a post-primary Democratic scandal, nominee withdrawal, or unprecedented national midterm wave flipping turnout dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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