The South Carolina 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the Republican nominee holding an 80.5% implied probability in the market ahead of the June 9 primaries and November general election. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces limited primary opposition from Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond, while multiple Democratic candidates including Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, and Daniel Shrief compete in their primary for a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters. The district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or major political shifts in the past month, underpins the wide gap between the Republican outcome and the Democratic Party at 16.5%. Traders reflect the low likelihood of an upset in this safely held district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSC-02 House Election Winner
$31,733 Обс.
$31,733 Обс.
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
17%
$31,733 Обс.
$31,733 Обс.
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
17%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The South Carolina 2nd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the Republican nominee holding an 80.5% implied probability in the market ahead of the June 9 primaries and November general election. Incumbent Joe Wilson faces limited primary opposition from Sam Gibbons and Hamp Redmond, while multiple Democratic candidates including Zyon Khalifa, Roger Pruitt, David Robinson II, and Daniel Shrief compete in their primary for a district rated Solid Republican by forecasters. The district's consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, combined with the absence of competitive challengers or major political shifts in the past month, underpins the wide gap between the Republican outcome and the Democratic Party at 16.5%. Traders reflect the low likelihood of an upset in this safely held district.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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