**Republican nominee Joe Wilson holds a commanding position in South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Wilson’s 59.5% win in 2024, underpin the 88.5% Republican Party price. Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with 74.2% against minor challengers, preserving party unity and incumbency advantages accumulated since 2001. On the Democratic side, Zyon Khalifa advanced from a fragmented primary and June 23 runoff, but the party’s 9.2% price reflects limited path to victory in a solidly Republican seat rated Safe or Solid R by major forecasters. The closely traded Other (50.5%), B (50.0%), and A (49.5%) outcomes capture residual uncertainty around third-party candidate Dayna Alane Smith and exact general-election margins, with no major polling or campaign developments since the primaries to shift trader consensus. The race remains low-volatility absent late-breaking national or local catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSC-02 House Election Winner
$38,959 Обс.
$38,959 Обс.
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
9%
$38,959 Обс.
$38,959 Обс.
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
9%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican nominee Joe Wilson holds a commanding position in South Carolina’s 2nd congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election.** The district’s R+7 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles, including Wilson’s 59.5% win in 2024, underpin the 88.5% Republican Party price. Wilson secured the GOP nomination in the June 9 primary with 74.2% against minor challengers, preserving party unity and incumbency advantages accumulated since 2001. On the Democratic side, Zyon Khalifa advanced from a fragmented primary and June 23 runoff, but the party’s 9.2% price reflects limited path to victory in a solidly Republican seat rated Safe or Solid R by major forecasters. The closely traded Other (50.5%), B (50.0%), and A (49.5%) outcomes capture residual uncertainty around third-party candidate Dayna Alane Smith and exact general-election margins, with no major polling or campaign developments since the primaries to shift trader consensus. The race remains low-volatility absent late-breaking national or local catalysts.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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