OK-01's open seat race favors Republicans at 86.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Rep. Kevin Hern's March 11 announcement to pursue Oklahoma's open Senate seat vacated the position, drawing a crowded 12-candidate GOP primary field—including state Rep. Mark Tedford and Corporation Commission Chair Kim David—versus just two Democrats, John Croisant and Erica Watkins, with minimal fundraising (Croisant holds $36,000 cash-on-hand). Hern's prior general election margins exceeded 60% against Democrats, underscoring GOP dominance in this Tulsa-area battleground. The June 16 primary looms as the next catalyst, with a potential August runoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOK-01 House Election Winner
OK-01 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,340 Обс.
87%
Democratic Party
$5,375 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).OK-01's open seat race favors Republicans at 86.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Rep. Kevin Hern's March 11 announcement to pursue Oklahoma's open Senate seat vacated the position, drawing a crowded 12-candidate GOP primary field—including state Rep. Mark Tedford and Corporation Commission Chair Kim David—versus just two Democrats, John Croisant and Erica Watkins, with minimal fundraising (Croisant holds $36,000 cash-on-hand). Hern's prior general election margins exceeded 60% against Democrats, underscoring GOP dominance in this Tulsa-area battleground. The June 16 primary looms as the next catalyst, with a potential August runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,715Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).OK-01's open seat race favors Republicans at 86.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Rep. Kevin Hern's March 11 announcement to pursue Oklahoma's open Senate seat vacated the position, drawing a crowded 12-candidate GOP primary field—including state Rep. Mark Tedford and Corporation Commission Chair Kim David—versus just two Democrats, John Croisant and Erica Watkins, with minimal fundraising (Croisant holds $36,000 cash-on-hand). Hern's prior general election margins exceeded 60% against Democrats, underscoring GOP dominance in this Tulsa-area battleground. The June 16 primary looms as the next catalyst, with a potential August runoff.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$9,715Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...OK-01's open seat race favors Republicans at 86.5% implied probability, reflecting the district's R+11 Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid Republican ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Inside Elections. Incumbent Rep. Kevin Hern's March 11 announcement to pursue Oklahoma's open Senate seat vacated the position, drawing a crowded 12-candidate GOP primary field—including state Rep. Mark Tedford and Corporation Commission Chair Kim David—versus just two Democrats, John Croisant and Erica Watkins, with minimal fundraising (Croisant holds $36,000 cash-on-hand). Hern's prior general election margins exceeded 60% against Democrats, underscoring GOP dominance in this Tulsa-area battleground. The June 16 primary looms as the next catalyst, with a potential August runoff.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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