Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a strong position in Arizona's 4th congressional district, a D+4 seat encompassing urban areas of Maricopa County including Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. His decisive primary win on July 21, 2026, against challenger Kai Newkirk confirmed his nomination, while Republican Zuhdi Jasser advanced unopposed. Stanton's 2024 reelection margin and the district's consistent Democratic lean underpin the 90% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The compressed campaign window and absence of major disruptions since the primaries have reinforced this positioning, with Republican prospects limited by the partisan baseline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-04 House Election Winner
AZ-04 House Election Winner
$25,119 Обс.
$25,119 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
9%
$25,119 Обс.
$25,119 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,870 Обс.
90%
Republican Party
$6,249 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a strong position in Arizona's 4th congressional district, a D+4 seat encompassing urban areas of Maricopa County including Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. His decisive primary win on July 21, 2026, against challenger Kai Newkirk confirmed his nomination, while Republican Zuhdi Jasser advanced unopposed. Stanton's 2024 reelection margin and the district's consistent Democratic lean underpin the 90% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The compressed campaign window and absence of major disruptions since the primaries have reinforced this positioning, with Republican prospects limited by the partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$25,119Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a strong position in Arizona's 4th congressional district, a D+4 seat encompassing urban areas of Maricopa County including Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. His decisive primary win on July 21, 2026, against challenger Kai Newkirk confirmed his nomination, while Republican Zuhdi Jasser advanced unopposed. Stanton's 2024 reelection margin and the district's consistent Democratic lean underpin the 90% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The compressed campaign window and absence of major disruptions since the primaries have reinforced this positioning, with Republican prospects limited by the partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$25,119Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton holds a strong position in Arizona's 4th congressional district, a D+4 seat encompassing urban areas of Maricopa County including Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. His decisive primary win on July 21, 2026, against challenger Kai Newkirk confirmed his nomination, while Republican Zuhdi Jasser advanced unopposed. Stanton's 2024 reelection margin and the district's consistent Democratic lean underpin the 90% trader consensus for the Democratic nominee in the November 3 general election. The compressed campaign window and absence of major disruptions since the primaries have reinforced this positioning, with Republican prospects limited by the partisan baseline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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