Arizona's 4th congressional district leans Democratic with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4, encompassing urban and suburban areas around Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton, first elected in 2018 and reelected with 52.7% in 2024, benefits from name recognition and established fundraising in a district where recent presidential results favored Democrats by a modest margin. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 2026 primaries. Republican primary contenders such as Zuhdi Jasser face structural challenges in converting the district's registration and voting patterns, keeping trader consensus on a Democratic outcome firmly elevated with limited volatility expected before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-04 House Election Winner
AZ-04 House Election Winner
$16,901 Обс.
$16,901 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
87%
Republican Party
13%
$16,901 Обс.
$16,901 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,057 Обс.
87%
Republican Party
$2,843 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 4th congressional district leans Democratic with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4, encompassing urban and suburban areas around Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton, first elected in 2018 and reelected with 52.7% in 2024, benefits from name recognition and established fundraising in a district where recent presidential results favored Democrats by a modest margin. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 2026 primaries. Republican primary contenders such as Zuhdi Jasser face structural challenges in converting the district's registration and voting patterns, keeping trader consensus on a Democratic outcome firmly elevated with limited volatility expected before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$16,901Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 4th congressional district leans Democratic with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4, encompassing urban and suburban areas around Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton, first elected in 2018 and reelected with 52.7% in 2024, benefits from name recognition and established fundraising in a district where recent presidential results favored Democrats by a modest margin. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 2026 primaries. Republican primary contenders such as Zuhdi Jasser face structural challenges in converting the district's registration and voting patterns, keeping trader consensus on a Democratic outcome firmly elevated with limited volatility expected before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$16,901Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 4th congressional district leans Democratic with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+4, encompassing urban and suburban areas around Tempe, Mesa, and Chandler. Incumbent Democrat Greg Stanton, first elected in 2018 and reelected with 52.7% in 2024, benefits from name recognition and established fundraising in a district where recent presidential results favored Democrats by a modest margin. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the July 2026 primaries. Republican primary contenders such as Zuhdi Jasser face structural challenges in converting the district's registration and voting patterns, keeping trader consensus on a Democratic outcome firmly elevated with limited volatility expected before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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