Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, rated a toss-up by major forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani secured reelection in 2024 with 50 percent of the vote in a district where the partisan voting index sits at even and recent presidential margins have been under one point. Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza, a Marine Corps veteran, has demonstrated early strength in limited polling, including a narrow lead in a March 2026 Republican-sponsored survey. With primaries scheduled for July 21 and the general election on November 3, trader positioning reflects the seat’s swing-district status, the incumbent’s narrow prior victories, and the potential influence of broader midterm dynamics on turnout and candidate performance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-06 House Election Winner
AZ-06 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
25%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$490 Обс.
78%
Republican Party
$969 Обс.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, rated a toss-up by major forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani secured reelection in 2024 with 50 percent of the vote in a district where the partisan voting index sits at even and recent presidential margins have been under one point. Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza, a Marine Corps veteran, has demonstrated early strength in limited polling, including a narrow lead in a March 2026 Republican-sponsored survey. With primaries scheduled for July 21 and the general election on November 3, trader positioning reflects the seat’s swing-district status, the incumbent’s narrow prior victories, and the potential influence of broader midterm dynamics on turnout and candidate performance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ET
Обсяг
$1,459Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, rated a toss-up by major forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani secured reelection in 2024 with 50 percent of the vote in a district where the partisan voting index sits at even and recent presidential margins have been under one point. Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza, a Marine Corps veteran, has demonstrated early strength in limited polling, including a narrow lead in a March 2026 Republican-sponsored survey. With primaries scheduled for July 21 and the general election on November 3, trader positioning reflects the seat’s swing-district status, the incumbent’s narrow prior victories, and the potential influence of broader midterm dynamics on turnout and candidate performance.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$1,459Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:41 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona’s 6th congressional district remains one of the nation’s most competitive House seats, rated a toss-up by major forecasters including Cook Political Report and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Republican incumbent Juan Ciscomani secured reelection in 2024 with 50 percent of the vote in a district where the partisan voting index sits at even and recent presidential margins have been under one point. Democratic challenger JoAnna Mendoza, a Marine Corps veteran, has demonstrated early strength in limited polling, including a narrow lead in a March 2026 Republican-sponsored survey. With primaries scheduled for July 21 and the general election on November 3, trader positioning reflects the seat’s swing-district status, the incumbent’s narrow prior victories, and the potential influence of broader midterm dynamics on turnout and candidate performance.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання