Florida's 28th congressional district features a Republican partisan voting index around R+10 and has delivered consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 64.6% win in 2024. Carlos Giménez, first elected in 2020 after flipping the seat, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest and maintains strong name recognition and fundraising. Democratic challengers Phil Ehr and Hector Mujica, who recently entered after pivoting from a Senate bid, have generated limited early polling movement, with internal surveys showing margins narrower than historical results but still favoring the Republican. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter trader consensus on the November 3 general election outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-28 House Election Winner
FL-28 House Election Winner
$10,043 Обс.
$10,043 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
$10,043 Обс.
$10,043 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,305 Обс.
90%
Democratic Party
$7,738 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district features a Republican partisan voting index around R+10 and has delivered consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 64.6% win in 2024. Carlos Giménez, first elected in 2020 after flipping the seat, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest and maintains strong name recognition and fundraising. Democratic challengers Phil Ehr and Hector Mujica, who recently entered after pivoting from a Senate bid, have generated limited early polling movement, with internal surveys showing margins narrower than historical results but still favoring the Republican. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter trader consensus on the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,043Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district features a Republican partisan voting index around R+10 and has delivered consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 64.6% win in 2024. Carlos Giménez, first elected in 2020 after flipping the seat, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest and maintains strong name recognition and fundraising. Democratic challengers Phil Ehr and Hector Mujica, who recently entered after pivoting from a Senate bid, have generated limited early polling movement, with internal surveys showing margins narrower than historical results but still favoring the Republican. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter trader consensus on the November 3 general election outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$10,043Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 28th congressional district features a Republican partisan voting index around R+10 and has delivered consistent GOP victories in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 64.6% win in 2024. Carlos Giménez, first elected in 2020 after flipping the seat, faces only minor primary opposition ahead of the August 18 contest and maintains strong name recognition and fundraising. Democratic challengers Phil Ehr and Hector Mujica, who recently entered after pivoting from a Senate bid, have generated limited early polling movement, with internal surveys showing margins narrower than historical results but still favoring the Republican. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting structural advantages and the absence of major recent shifts that would alter trader consensus on the November 3 general election outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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