Incumbent Republican Rep. Troy Balderson's unopposed Republican primary on May 5 in solidly Republican OH-12, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with an R+16 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus to 90.5% odds for the GOP in the November general election. Balderson dominated the 2024 race 68.5%-31.5% and holds a massive fundraising edge, with $1.7 million cash on hand versus under $13,000 combined for Democratic primary contenders Jerrad Christian, Daniel Crawford, and Jason Reynard. No recent polls exist amid the new post-2025 redistricting map preserving the district's GOP lean. Late-breaking scenarios like a primary upset, personal scandal, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though structural barriers remain high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-12 House Election Winner
OH-12 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,858 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$200 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Troy Balderson's unopposed Republican primary on May 5 in solidly Republican OH-12, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with an R+16 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus to 90.5% odds for the GOP in the November general election. Balderson dominated the 2024 race 68.5%-31.5% and holds a massive fundraising edge, with $1.7 million cash on hand versus under $13,000 combined for Democratic primary contenders Jerrad Christian, Daniel Crawford, and Jason Reynard. No recent polls exist amid the new post-2025 redistricting map preserving the district's GOP lean. Late-breaking scenarios like a primary upset, personal scandal, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,058Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Troy Balderson's unopposed Republican primary on May 5 in solidly Republican OH-12, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with an R+16 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus to 90.5% odds for the GOP in the November general election. Balderson dominated the 2024 race 68.5%-31.5% and holds a massive fundraising edge, with $1.7 million cash on hand versus under $13,000 combined for Democratic primary contenders Jerrad Christian, Daniel Crawford, and Jason Reynard. No recent polls exist amid the new post-2025 redistricting map preserving the district's GOP lean. Late-breaking scenarios like a primary upset, personal scandal, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though structural barriers remain high.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,058Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Troy Balderson's unopposed Republican primary on May 5 in solidly Republican OH-12, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with an R+16 partisan voting index, drives trader consensus to 90.5% odds for the GOP in the November general election. Balderson dominated the 2024 race 68.5%-31.5% and holds a massive fundraising edge, with $1.7 million cash on hand versus under $13,000 combined for Democratic primary contenders Jerrad Christian, Daniel Crawford, and Jason Reynard. No recent polls exist amid the new post-2025 redistricting map preserving the district's GOP lean. Late-breaking scenarios like a primary upset, personal scandal, health issue, or national Democratic midterm wave could challenge this outlook, though structural barriers remain high.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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