Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th congressional district underpins the strong Democratic positioning in the race. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins that have favored Democrats by wide margins. Grijalva secured the seat in the 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote. Primary contests for both parties remain scheduled for July 21, 2026, ahead of the November general election, with no major shifts in candidate fields or polling reported in recent weeks. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unforeseen scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican surge tied to national conditions, though such developments would represent significant departures from the district's established patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-07 House Election Winner
AZ-07 House Election Winner
$10,301 Обс.
$10,301 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$10,301 Обс.
$10,301 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$3,996 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$6,305 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th congressional district underpins the strong Democratic positioning in the race. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins that have favored Democrats by wide margins. Grijalva secured the seat in the 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote. Primary contests for both parties remain scheduled for July 21, 2026, ahead of the November general election, with no major shifts in candidate fields or polling reported in recent weeks. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unforeseen scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican surge tied to national conditions, though such developments would represent significant departures from the district's established patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$10,301Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th congressional district underpins the strong Democratic positioning in the race. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins that have favored Democrats by wide margins. Grijalva secured the seat in the 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote. Primary contests for both parties remain scheduled for July 21, 2026, ahead of the November general election, with no major shifts in candidate fields or polling reported in recent weeks. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unforeseen scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican surge tied to national conditions, though such developments would represent significant departures from the district's established patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$10,301Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Adelita Grijalva's incumbency in Arizona's 7th congressional district underpins the strong Democratic positioning in the race. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13, reflecting consistent voter registration advantages and past election margins that have favored Democrats by wide margins. Grijalva secured the seat in the 2025 special election with nearly 69 percent of the vote. Primary contests for both parties remain scheduled for July 21, 2026, ahead of the November general election, with no major shifts in candidate fields or polling reported in recent weeks. Scenarios that could alter the outcome include an unforeseen scandal, health issue affecting the incumbent, or an unusually strong Republican surge tied to national conditions, though such developments would represent significant departures from the district's established patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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