Josh Riley holds a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race due to his status as the Democratic incumbent who flipped the seat in 2024 by roughly two points, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.8 million compared to Peter Oberacker’s $1.2 million. Forecasters rate the district as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting its modest leftward shift in recent cycles. Republican support for Oberacker, the state senator who won his June 2026 primary, has sharply declined, with major groups withdrawing multimillion-dollar ad reservations and removing him from targeted programs ahead of the November 3 general election. National political dynamics, turnout patterns in competitive counties, and any late developments such as candidate controversies or shifts in the broader House landscape remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-19 House Election Winner
NY-19 House Election Winner
$21,359 Обс.
$21,359 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Josh Riley (D)
95%
Peter Oberacker (R)
5%
$21,359 Обс.
$21,359 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Josh Riley (D)
$10,381 Обс.
95%
Peter Oberacker (R)
$10,978 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Josh Riley holds a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race due to his status as the Democratic incumbent who flipped the seat in 2024 by roughly two points, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.8 million compared to Peter Oberacker’s $1.2 million. Forecasters rate the district as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting its modest leftward shift in recent cycles. Republican support for Oberacker, the state senator who won his June 2026 primary, has sharply declined, with major groups withdrawing multimillion-dollar ad reservations and removing him from targeted programs ahead of the November 3 general election. National political dynamics, turnout patterns in competitive counties, and any late developments such as candidate controversies or shifts in the broader House landscape remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,359Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Josh Riley holds a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race due to his status as the Democratic incumbent who flipped the seat in 2024 by roughly two points, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.8 million compared to Peter Oberacker’s $1.2 million. Forecasters rate the district as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting its modest leftward shift in recent cycles. Republican support for Oberacker, the state senator who won his June 2026 primary, has sharply declined, with major groups withdrawing multimillion-dollar ad reservations and removing him from targeted programs ahead of the November 3 general election. National political dynamics, turnout patterns in competitive counties, and any late developments such as candidate controversies or shifts in the broader House landscape remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$21,359Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Josh Riley holds a commanding lead in the NY-19 House race due to his status as the Democratic incumbent who flipped the seat in 2024 by roughly two points, combined with a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $4.8 million compared to Peter Oberacker’s $1.2 million. Forecasters rate the district as lean or likely Democratic, reflecting its modest leftward shift in recent cycles. Republican support for Oberacker, the state senator who won his June 2026 primary, has sharply declined, with major groups withdrawing multimillion-dollar ad reservations and removing him from targeted programs ahead of the November 3 general election. National political dynamics, turnout patterns in competitive counties, and any late developments such as candidate controversies or shifts in the broader House landscape remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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