Democratic incumbent Josh Riley seeks re-election in New York’s 19th congressional district for the November 2026 general election following the June 2026 primaries. The race carries a Lean Democratic rating from major forecasters, reflecting the district’s recent voting patterns and Riley’s incumbency advantage since taking office in 2025. Republican contenders, including Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli, emerged from their primary but face structural challenges in a district where Democratic performance has held steady. Trader consensus at 88% for the Democratic Party aligns with these baseline factors, including historical turnout trends and the absence of major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics since the primary cycle concluded. Upcoming events such as candidate debates or late-cycle fundraising could influence positioning before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-19 House Election Winner
NY-19 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,561 Обс.
88%
Republican Party
$2,316 Обс.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Josh Riley seeks re-election in New York’s 19th congressional district for the November 2026 general election following the June 2026 primaries. The race carries a Lean Democratic rating from major forecasters, reflecting the district’s recent voting patterns and Riley’s incumbency advantage since taking office in 2025. Republican contenders, including Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli, emerged from their primary but face structural challenges in a district where Democratic performance has held steady. Trader consensus at 88% for the Democratic Party aligns with these baseline factors, including historical turnout trends and the absence of major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics since the primary cycle concluded. Upcoming events such as candidate debates or late-cycle fundraising could influence positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,876Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Josh Riley seeks re-election in New York’s 19th congressional district for the November 2026 general election following the June 2026 primaries. The race carries a Lean Democratic rating from major forecasters, reflecting the district’s recent voting patterns and Riley’s incumbency advantage since taking office in 2025. Republican contenders, including Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli, emerged from their primary but face structural challenges in a district where Democratic performance has held steady. Trader consensus at 88% for the Democratic Party aligns with these baseline factors, including historical turnout trends and the absence of major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics since the primary cycle concluded. Upcoming events such as candidate debates or late-cycle fundraising could influence positioning before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,876Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Josh Riley seeks re-election in New York’s 19th congressional district for the November 2026 general election following the June 2026 primaries. The race carries a Lean Democratic rating from major forecasters, reflecting the district’s recent voting patterns and Riley’s incumbency advantage since taking office in 2025. Republican contenders, including Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli, emerged from their primary but face structural challenges in a district where Democratic performance has held steady. Trader consensus at 88% for the Democratic Party aligns with these baseline factors, including historical turnout trends and the absence of major shifts in polling or campaign dynamics since the primary cycle concluded. Upcoming events such as candidate debates or late-cycle fundraising could influence positioning before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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