Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a narrow edge in the competitive NY-19 race, rated Lean Democratic by forecasters, following his 2024 victory by roughly two points in a district with a D+1 Partisan Voter Index. The contest remains closely matched due to the area's mixed partisan composition across the Hudson Valley and Southern Tier, Riley's established fundraising advantage, and the pending Republican primary on June 23, 2026, featuring state Sen. Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli. Early voting has begun, with the general election set for November 3. Potential separators include the primary outcome, subsequent challenger visibility and resources, any new district-specific polling, and shifts in the broader national environment that influence turnout among key voting blocs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-19 House Election Winner
NY-19 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
44%
Democratic Party
45%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$50 Обс.
44%
Democratic Party
$225 Обс.
45%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a narrow edge in the competitive NY-19 race, rated Lean Democratic by forecasters, following his 2024 victory by roughly two points in a district with a D+1 Partisan Voter Index. The contest remains closely matched due to the area's mixed partisan composition across the Hudson Valley and Southern Tier, Riley's established fundraising advantage, and the pending Republican primary on June 23, 2026, featuring state Sen. Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli. Early voting has begun, with the general election set for November 3. Potential separators include the primary outcome, subsequent challenger visibility and resources, any new district-specific polling, and shifts in the broader national environment that influence turnout among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$275Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a narrow edge in the competitive NY-19 race, rated Lean Democratic by forecasters, following his 2024 victory by roughly two points in a district with a D+1 Partisan Voter Index. The contest remains closely matched due to the area's mixed partisan composition across the Hudson Valley and Southern Tier, Riley's established fundraising advantage, and the pending Republican primary on June 23, 2026, featuring state Sen. Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli. Early voting has begun, with the general election set for November 3. Potential separators include the primary outcome, subsequent challenger visibility and resources, any new district-specific polling, and shifts in the broader national environment that influence turnout among key voting blocs.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$275Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Josh Riley holds a narrow edge in the competitive NY-19 race, rated Lean Democratic by forecasters, following his 2024 victory by roughly two points in a district with a D+1 Partisan Voter Index. The contest remains closely matched due to the area's mixed partisan composition across the Hudson Valley and Southern Tier, Riley's established fundraising advantage, and the pending Republican primary on June 23, 2026, featuring state Sen. Peter Oberacker and Alexander Portelli. Early voting has begun, with the general election set for November 3. Potential separators include the primary outcome, subsequent challenger visibility and resources, any new district-specific polling, and shifts in the broader national environment that influence turnout among key voting blocs.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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