Tim Kennedy, the Democratic incumbent first elected in a 2024 special election, holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean and his prior general-election margin exceeding 30 points. The district’s voting patterns and fundraising edge for the Democratic nominee reinforce trader expectations ahead of the November 2026 general election. Primaries concluded in June with no significant disruptions to the established dynamics. While a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap, the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition have kept Republican prospects minimal in recent cycles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-26 House Election Winner
NY-26 House Election Winner
$26,198 Обс.
$26,198 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$26,198 Обс.
$26,198 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,030 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$12,168 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tim Kennedy, the Democratic incumbent first elected in a 2024 special election, holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean and his prior general-election margin exceeding 30 points. The district’s voting patterns and fundraising edge for the Democratic nominee reinforce trader expectations ahead of the November 2026 general election. Primaries concluded in June with no significant disruptions to the established dynamics. While a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap, the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition have kept Republican prospects minimal in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,198Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tim Kennedy, the Democratic incumbent first elected in a 2024 special election, holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean and his prior general-election margin exceeding 30 points. The district’s voting patterns and fundraising edge for the Democratic nominee reinforce trader expectations ahead of the November 2026 general election. Primaries concluded in June with no significant disruptions to the established dynamics. While a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap, the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition have kept Republican prospects minimal in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-26 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,198Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tim Kennedy, the Democratic incumbent first elected in a 2024 special election, holds a commanding position in New York’s 26th congressional district due to the seat’s consistent partisan lean and his prior general-election margin exceeding 30 points. The district’s voting patterns and fundraising edge for the Democratic nominee reinforce trader expectations ahead of the November 2026 general election. Primaries concluded in June with no significant disruptions to the established dynamics. While a national political shift, unexpected scandal, or health-related withdrawal could theoretically narrow the gap, the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition have kept Republican prospects minimal in recent cycles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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