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Вибори·Проміжні семестри

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Вибори·Проміжні семестри

CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner

Luke Bronin 47%

John Larson 23%

Jillian Gilchrest 4.5%

Ruth Fortune 4.1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Luke Bronin 47%

John Larson 23%

Jillian Gilchrest 4.5%

Ruth Fortune 4.1%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Luke Bronin

$2,810 Обс.

47%

John Larson

$551 Обс.

34%

Jillian Gilchrest

$0 Обс.

5%

Ruth Fortune

$715 Обс.

4%

Mark Stewart Greenstein

$1,379 Обс.

2%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent first-quarter 2026 fundraising reports propelled former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin to the top of trader consensus at 47% implied probability in the Connecticut's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, as he outraised 14-term incumbent Rep. John Larson for the third consecutive quarter—$511,000 to $452,000—with $1.8 million cash on hand versus Larson's $1.1 million, funding Bronin's early TV and digital ads advocating generational change against the 78-year-old congressman. Larson counters with high-profile endorsements from House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, Sens. Richard Blumenthal and Chris Murphy, and a January internal poll showing him leading 49%-26%, yet traders prioritize Bronin's financial edge ahead of the May district convention, where 15% delegate support secures primary ballot access on August 11 or petitions suffice otherwise. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest and others lag with far less funding.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$5,455
Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Recent first-quarter 2026 fundraising reports propelled former Hartford Mayor Luke Bronin to the top of trader consensus at 47% implied probability in the Connecticut's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary, as he outraised 14-term incumbent Rep. John Larson for the third consecutive quarter—$511,000 to $452,000—with $1.8 million cash on hand versus Larson's $1.1 million, funding Bronin's early TV and digital ads advocating generational change against the 78-year-old congressman. Larson counters with high-profile endorsements from House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, Sens. Richard Blumenthal and Chris Murphy, and a January internal poll showing him leading 49%-26%, yet traders prioritize Bronin's financial edge ahead of the May district convention, where 15% delegate support secures primary ballot access on August 11 or petitions suffice otherwise. State Rep. Jillian Gilchrest and others lag with far less funding.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$5,455
Дата завершення
Aug 11, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Feb 26, 2026, 5:41 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the CT-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 11, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Luke Bronin» з 47%, далі «John Larson» з 34%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Feb 26, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Luke Bronin» з 47%. Наступний — «John Larson» з 34%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «CT-01 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.