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Політика·Вибори в США

MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner
Політика·Вибори в США

MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner

Benjamin Ambrose 89%

Jamie Hill 9.3%

Clyde Welford 2.8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ

Benjamin Ambrose 89%

Jamie Hill 9.3%

Clyde Welford 2.8%

Polymarket
НОВЕ
icon for Benjamin Ambrose

Benjamin Ambrose

$2,042 Обс.

89%

icon for Jamie Hill

Jamie Hill

$437 Обс.

9%

icon for Clyde Welford

Clyde Welford

$828 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ben Ambrose holds a commanding lead in the Michigan 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary market due to key endorsements from the Detroit News, UAW, and Michigan Farmers Union, combined with his background as a Marine Corps veteran and rural farm roots that align with district demographics. These factors, along with stronger reported fundraising compared to rivals, have solidified trader consensus ahead of the August 4 primary. Jamie Hill, a physician assistant and former first responder endorsed by End Citizens United, and Clyde Welford, a Lake County commissioner and retired teacher, trail significantly, reflecting limited visibility and organizational support in recent weeks. The district's rural character and the need to challenge incumbent Republican John Moolenaar further amplify Ambrose's positioning in the final days before voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$3,307
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 8, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Ben Ambrose holds a commanding lead in the Michigan 2nd Congressional District Democratic primary market due to key endorsements from the Detroit News, UAW, and Michigan Farmers Union, combined with his background as a Marine Corps veteran and rural farm roots that align with district demographics. These factors, along with stronger reported fundraising compared to rivals, have solidified trader consensus ahead of the August 4 primary. Jamie Hill, a physician assistant and former first responder endorsed by End Citizens United, and Clyde Welford, a Lake County commissioner and retired teacher, trail significantly, reflecting limited visibility and organizational support in recent weeks. The district's rural character and the need to challenge incumbent Republican John Moolenaar further amplify Ambrose's positioning in the final days before voting.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$3,307
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Jul 8, 2026, 6:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Пов'язане

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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 3 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Benjamin Ambrose» з 89%, далі «Jamie Hill» з 9%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

«MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — це нещодавно створений ринок на Polymarket, запущений Jul 8, 2026. Як ранній ринок, це ваша можливість бути серед перших трейдерів, що встановлюють шанси. Ви також можете зберегти цю сторінку в закладки для відстеження обсягу.

Щоб торгувати на «MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 3 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Benjamin Ambrose» з 89%. Наступний — «Jamie Hill» з 9%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «MI-02 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.