Skip to main content
Market icon
Вибори·Первинні

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

Market icon
Вибори·Первинні

MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner

Jeremy Moss 80%

Andy Levin 9%

Aisha Farooqi 7.3%

Don Ufford 6%

Polymarket

$13,269 Обс.

Jeremy Moss 80%

Andy Levin 9%

Aisha Farooqi 7.3%

Don Ufford 6%

Polymarket

$13,269 Обс.

Jeremy Moss

$4,952 Обс.

80%

Andy Levin

$2,683 Обс.

9%

Aisha Farooqi

$5,467 Обс.

7%

Don Ufford

$0 Обс.

6%

Dave Woodward

$166 Обс.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss dominates trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability in the open MI-11 Democratic primary—vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' Senate bid—following his April 16 announcement of a fundraising and cash-on-hand lead over rivals, alongside being first to submit petitions on April 14. Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's November 2025 endorsement and the LGBTQ+ Victory Fund's April 9 backing further solidify his frontrunner status as Michigan Senate President Pro Tem, reflecting strong party establishment support in this Oakland County battleground. Trailing candidates like former Rep. Andy Levin (8.5%), state Rep. Aisha Farooqi (7.3%), Don Ufford (7.0%), and Dave Woodward (2.7%) lack comparable momentum or recent catalysts ahead of the August 4 primary, with no public polls yet shifting the skin-in-the-game wisdom of crowds.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$13,269
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jeremy Moss dominates trader consensus at 79.5% implied probability in the open MI-11 Democratic primary—vacated by Rep. Haley Stevens' Senate bid—following his April 16 announcement of a fundraising and cash-on-hand lead over rivals, alongside being first to submit petitions on April 14. Gov. Gretchen Whitmer's November 2025 endorsement and the LGBTQ+ Victory Fund's April 9 backing further solidify his frontrunner status as Michigan Senate President Pro Tem, reflecting strong party establishment support in this Oakland County battleground. Trailing candidates like former Rep. Andy Levin (8.5%), state Rep. Aisha Farooqi (7.3%), Don Ufford (7.0%), and Dave Woodward (2.7%) lack comparable momentum or recent catalysts ahead of the August 4 primary, with no public polls yet shifting the skin-in-the-game wisdom of crowds.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$13,269
Дата завершення
Aug 4, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Nov 25, 2025, 4:20 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Jeremy Moss» з 80%, далі «Andy Levin» з 9%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner» згенерував $13.3K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Nov 25, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner» — «Jeremy Moss» з 80%. Наступний — «Andy Levin» з 9%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «MI-11 Democratic Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.