Recent polling shows several 2026 Senate contests tightening into potential single-digit margins, driven by a Democratic-leaning generic congressional ballot and shifts in key battlegrounds. Races in Texas, Ohio, Michigan, Maine, New Hampshire, Alaska, and Iowa feature the narrowest projected spreads, influenced by candidate matchups, open seats from retirements, and state-specific turnout patterns. Democratic gains appear in recent surveys from Texas and Ohio, while New Hampshire moved to toss-up status amid Republican momentum. With the November 3 general election seven weeks away and mail voting underway in multiple states, late-cycle developments in these competitive districts—along with national economic and approval trends—will likely determine which races finish within five points.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$64,033 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Texas
83%
Alaska
72%
Kansas
70%
Michigan
65%
Iowa
62%
Ohio (Special)
56%
Nebraska
49%
New Hampshire
36%
South Carolina
41%
North Carolina
27%
Florida (Special)
25%
Maine
38%
Georgia
20%
Minnesota
16%
New Mexico
13%
Montana
9%
Virginia
5%
Colorado
4%
$64,033 Обс.
Texas
$7,132 Обс.
83%
Alaska
$2,789 Обс.
72%
Kansas
$556 Обс.
70%
Michigan
$2,743 Обс.
65%
Iowa
$5,657 Обс.
62%
Ohio (Special)
$3,967 Обс.
56%
Nebraska
$3,719 Обс.
49%
New Hampshire
$2,402 Обс.
36%
South Carolina
$109 Обс.
41%
North Carolina
$5,817 Обс.
27%
Florida (Special)
$2,450 Обс.
25%
Maine
$1,119 Обс.
38%
Georgia
$2,057 Обс.
20%
Minnesota
$9,915 Обс.
16%
New Mexico
$6,665 Обс.
13%
Montana
$2,990 Обс.
9%
Virginia
$1,344 Обс.
5%
Colorado
$2,599 Обс.
4%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling shows several 2026 Senate contests tightening into potential single-digit margins, driven by a Democratic-leaning generic congressional ballot and shifts in key battlegrounds. Races in Texas, Ohio, Michigan, Maine, New Hampshire, Alaska, and Iowa feature the narrowest projected spreads, influenced by candidate matchups, open seats from retirements, and state-specific turnout patterns. Democratic gains appear in recent surveys from Texas and Ohio, while New Hampshire moved to toss-up status amid Republican momentum. With the November 3 general election seven weeks away and mail voting underway in multiple states, late-cycle developments in these competitive districts—along with national economic and approval trends—will likely determine which races finish within five points.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Обсяг
$64,033Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling shows several 2026 Senate contests tightening into potential single-digit margins, driven by a Democratic-leaning generic congressional ballot and shifts in key battlegrounds. Races in Texas, Ohio, Michigan, Maine, New Hampshire, Alaska, and Iowa feature the narrowest projected spreads, influenced by candidate matchups, open seats from retirements, and state-specific turnout patterns. Democratic gains appear in recent surveys from Texas and Ohio, while New Hampshire moved to toss-up status amid Republican momentum. With the November 3 general election seven weeks away and mail voting underway in multiple states, late-cycle developments in these competitive districts—along with national economic and approval trends—will likely determine which races finish within five points.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified 2026 Senate race has a margin of victory of 5% or less. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
The resolution source for this market will be the state election authority of the specified state, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$64,033Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jul 29, 2026, 2:38 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Recent polling shows several 2026 Senate contests tightening into potential single-digit margins, driven by a Democratic-leaning generic congressional ballot and shifts in key battlegrounds. Races in Texas, Ohio, Michigan, Maine, New Hampshire, Alaska, and Iowa feature the narrowest projected spreads, influenced by candidate matchups, open seats from retirements, and state-specific turnout patterns. Democratic gains appear in recent surveys from Texas and Ohio, while New Hampshire moved to toss-up status amid Republican momentum. With the November 3 general election seven weeks away and mail voting underway in multiple states, late-cycle developments in these competitive districts—along with national economic and approval trends—will likely determine which races finish within five points.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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