Mitch McConnell has not cast a Senate floor vote since June 11, 2026, after hospitalization following a fall at his Washington home on June 14. The 84-year-old Kentucky Republican, who announced in February 2025 that he would not seek re-election and whose term ends in January 2027, was discharged from rehabilitation in early August but continues intensive physical therapy at home on medical advice. No public timeline or clearance for return to the chamber has been issued, and he has missed dozens of roll-call votes during this period while engaging staff remotely. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring the "No" outcome by the September 30 resolution date.