Recent U.S. inflation data, including the April CPI reading at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2023 and driven by energy price spikes amid Middle East tensions—has reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will prioritize its inflation mandate at the September FOMC meeting. A resilient labor market, with unemployment holding near 4.3-4.4%, further supports holding the federal funds rate steady in the current 3.50%-3.75% target range, consistent with the policy path maintained since April. Upcoming releases such as the May CPI and the June FOMC projections represent near-term data points that could influence positioning, though current consensus reflects limited scope for near-term easing or tightening given sustained price pressures above the 2% target and balanced employment conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNo change 76%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 7%
50+ bps decrease 1.8%
$91,568 Обс.
$91,568 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
2%
25 bps decrease
7%
No change
76%
25 bps increase
16%
50+ bps increase
2%
No change 76%
25 bps increase 16%
25 bps decrease 7%
50+ bps decrease 1.8%
$91,568 Обс.
$91,568 Обс.
Sep 16, 2026
50+ bps decrease
$15,173 Обс.
2%
25 bps decrease
$21,077 Обс.
7%
No change
$20,710 Обс.
76%
25 bps increase
$18,964 Обс.
16%
50+ bps increase
$15,643 Обс.
2%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent U.S. inflation data, including the April CPI reading at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2023 and driven by energy price spikes amid Middle East tensions—has reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will prioritize its inflation mandate at the September FOMC meeting. A resilient labor market, with unemployment holding near 4.3-4.4%, further supports holding the federal funds rate steady in the current 3.50%-3.75% target range, consistent with the policy path maintained since April. Upcoming releases such as the May CPI and the June FOMC projections represent near-term data points that could influence positioning, though current consensus reflects limited scope for near-term easing or tightening given sustained price pressures above the 2% target and balanced employment conditions.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Ринок відкрито: May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Обсяг
$91,568Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Recent U.S. inflation data, including the April CPI reading at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2023 and driven by energy price spikes amid Middle East tensions—has reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will prioritize its inflation mandate at the September FOMC meeting. A resilient labor market, with unemployment holding near 4.3-4.4%, further supports holding the federal funds rate steady in the current 3.50%-3.75% target range, consistent with the policy path maintained since April. Upcoming releases such as the May CPI and the June FOMC projections represent near-term data points that could influence positioning, though current consensus reflects limited scope for near-term easing or tightening given sustained price pressures above the 2% target and balanced employment conditions.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Обсяг
$91,568Дата завершення
Sep 16, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent U.S. inflation data, including the April CPI reading at 3.8% year-over-year—the highest since mid-2023 and driven by energy price spikes amid Middle East tensions—has reinforced trader expectations that the Federal Reserve will prioritize its inflation mandate at the September FOMC meeting. A resilient labor market, with unemployment holding near 4.3-4.4%, further supports holding the federal funds rate steady in the current 3.50%-3.75% target range, consistent with the policy path maintained since April. Upcoming releases such as the May CPI and the June FOMC projections represent near-term data points that could influence positioning, though current consensus reflects limited scope for near-term easing or tightening given sustained price pressures above the 2% target and balanced employment conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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