The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that persistent inflation—March CPI up 3.3% year-over-year, a jump from February's 2.4%—is offset by softening labor market signals, including unemployment steady at 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs. CME FedWatch Tool implies under 2% probability of a 25 basis-point hike at the April 28-29 meeting, as markets price in policy caution amid balanced risks to growth and price stability. Upcoming April CPI (May 15 release) and Q1 GDP data could shift sentiment if inflation accelerates further or employment weakens notably.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$31,312 Обс.
Dec 9, 2026
April Meeting
1%
June Meeting
4%
July Meeting
16%
September Meeting
14%
October Meeting
19%
$31,312 Обс.
April Meeting
$24,301 Обс.
1%
June Meeting
$6,580 Обс.
4%
July Meeting
$372 Обс.
16%
September Meeting
$3 Обс.
14%
October Meeting
$55 Обс.
19%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that persistent inflation—March CPI up 3.3% year-over-year, a jump from February's 2.4%—is offset by softening labor market signals, including unemployment steady at 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs. CME FedWatch Tool implies under 2% probability of a 25 basis-point hike at the April 28-29 meeting, as markets price in policy caution amid balanced risks to growth and price stability. Upcoming April CPI (May 15 release) and Q1 GDP data could shift sentiment if inflation accelerates further or employment weakens notably.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$31,312Дата завершення
Oct 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that persistent inflation—March CPI up 3.3% year-over-year, a jump from February's 2.4%—is offset by softening labor market signals, including unemployment steady at 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs. CME FedWatch Tool implies under 2% probability of a 25 basis-point hike at the April 28-29 meeting, as markets price in policy caution amid balanced risks to growth and price stability. Upcoming April CPI (May 15 release) and Q1 GDP data could shift sentiment if inflation accelerates further or employment weakens notably.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between December 16, 2025 and the completion of the listed Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting (inclusive of any rate hike announced as a result of the listed meeting). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the listed meeting does not take place within 7 calendar days (ET) of its scheduled end date, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate cut has been announced, this market will resolve to "No".
Emergency rate hikes will qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$31,312Дата завершення
Oct 29, 2026Ринок відкрито
Mar 31, 2026, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Federal Reserve held the federal funds rate steady at 3.50%-3.75% following its March 17-18, 2026 FOMC meeting, reflecting trader consensus that persistent inflation—March CPI up 3.3% year-over-year, a jump from February's 2.4%—is offset by softening labor market signals, including unemployment steady at 4.3% and nonfarm payrolls adding 178,000 jobs. CME FedWatch Tool implies under 2% probability of a 25 basis-point hike at the April 28-29 meeting, as markets price in policy caution amid balanced risks to growth and price stability. Upcoming April CPI (May 15 release) and Q1 GDP data could shift sentiment if inflation accelerates further or employment weakens notably.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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