Senate Republican Leader John Thune has stated that roughly half or fewer GOP senators support ending the legislative filibuster, with internal party conversations showing most remain opposed due to concerns over future Democratic majorities. This stance has held amid pressure from President Trump and House conservatives at the recent midterm convention, where some members called for rule changes to advance stalled priorities like budget measures and border legislation. Democrats continue to block House-passed bills through the 60-vote threshold, yet no procedural vote to lower it for legislation has advanced. With midterms approaching and limited pre-election session time, the absence of unified caucus support keeps the probability of a nuclear option by year-end low according to trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$560,730 Обс.
Mar 30, 2026
31 грудня 2026 року
6%
$560,730 Обс.
31 грудня 2026 року
$5,768 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republican Leader John Thune has stated that roughly half or fewer GOP senators support ending the legislative filibuster, with internal party conversations showing most remain opposed due to concerns over future Democratic majorities. This stance has held amid pressure from President Trump and House conservatives at the recent midterm convention, where some members called for rule changes to advance stalled priorities like budget measures and border legislation. Democrats continue to block House-passed bills through the 60-vote threshold, yet no procedural vote to lower it for legislation has advanced. With midterms approaching and limited pre-election session time, the absence of unified caucus support keeps the probability of a nuclear option by year-end low according to trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ET
Обсяг
$560,730Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.Senate Republican Leader John Thune has stated that roughly half or fewer GOP senators support ending the legislative filibuster, with internal party conversations showing most remain opposed due to concerns over future Democratic majorities. This stance has held amid pressure from President Trump and House conservatives at the recent midterm convention, where some members called for rule changes to advance stalled priorities like budget measures and border legislation. Democrats continue to block House-passed bills through the 60-vote threshold, yet no procedural vote to lower it for legislation has advanced. With midterms approaching and limited pre-election session time, the absence of unified caucus support keeps the probability of a nuclear option by year-end low according to trader consensus.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
Обсяг
$560,730Дата завершення
Mar 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 2, 2026, 5:35 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Senate Republican Leader John Thune has stated that roughly half or fewer GOP senators support ending the legislative filibuster, with internal party conversations showing most remain opposed due to concerns over future Democratic majorities. This stance has held amid pressure from President Trump and House conservatives at the recent midterm convention, where some members called for rule changes to advance stalled priorities like budget measures and border legislation. Democrats continue to block House-passed bills through the 60-vote threshold, yet no procedural vote to lower it for legislation has advanced. With midterms approaching and limited pre-election session time, the absence of unified caucus support keeps the probability of a nuclear option by year-end low according to trader consensus.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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