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icon for Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

icon for Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?

18% шанс
Polymarket

$1,596,055 Обс.

18% шанс
Polymarket

$1,596,055 Обс.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.Mitch McConnell’s Senate term runs through January 3, 2027, following his February 2025 announcement that he would not seek an eighth term. Recent developments center on his June 2026 hospitalization after a fall and mild pneumonia, which led to a prolonged absence and rehabilitation until early August. As the Senate prepared to reconvene on September 14, 2026, Kentucky Republican colleagues and leadership sources indicated expectations that he would return to the floor for remaining votes ahead of the November elections, with staff confirming ongoing recovery and engagement on Senate business. No official statements or procedural steps signal an early resignation, and the 84-year-old senator has continued limited public communications, such as a September 11 statement on the 9/11 anniversary. Trader consensus on an 82.5% chance he completes the term reflects this pattern of intent to serve out the remainder despite health questions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Обсяг
$1,596,055
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Oct 17, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.Mitch McConnell’s Senate term runs through January 3, 2027, following his February 2025 announcement that he would not seek an eighth term. Recent developments center on his June 2026 hospitalization after a fall and mild pneumonia, which led to a prolonged absence and rehabilitation until early August. As the Senate prepared to reconvene on September 14, 2026, Kentucky Republican colleagues and leadership sources indicated expectations that he would return to the floor for remaining votes ahead of the November elections, with staff confirming ongoing recovery and engagement on Senate business. No official statements or procedural steps signal an early resignation, and the 84-year-old senator has continued limited public communications, such as a September 11 statement on the 9/11 anniversary. Trader consensus on an 82.5% chance he completes the term reflects this pattern of intent to serve out the remainder despite health questions.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”

An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify.

The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mitch McConnell formally announces an intention to step down or otherwise vacates his U.S. Senate seat before his current term is scheduled to end (January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” An announcement will qualify only if it indicates that McConnell will leave office prior to the scheduled end of his term. Statements reaffirming an existing plan to retire at the end of his term will not qualify. The primary resolution sources will be official statements from Mitch McConnell, his office or representatives, and/or official communications from the U.S. Senate or government.
Обсяг
$1,596,055
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Oct 17, 2025, 5:17 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x65070BE91...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket, де трейдери купують і продають акції «Так» або «Ні» залежно від того, чи вірять вони, що ця подія станеться. Поточна краудсорсингова ймовірність — 18% для «Yes». Наприклад, якщо «Так» коштує 18¢, ринок колективно оцінює шанс цієї події в 18%. Ці шанси безперервно змінюються, коли трейдери реагують на нові події. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?» згенерував $1.6 million загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Oct 17, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?», просто оберіть, чи вірите ви, що відповідь — «Так» або «Ні». Кожна сторона має поточну ціну, що відображає ймовірність ринку. Введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ви купили акції «Так» і результат — «Так», кожна акція виплачує $1. Якщо «Ні» — ваші акції «Так» коштують $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточна ймовірність для «Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends?» — 18% для «Yes». Це означає, що спільнота Polymarket вважає, що є 18% шанс, що ця подія станеться. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі.

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