Trump's second term, secured through the 2024 election, underpins the 95.9% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Recent administration statements, including Attorney General comments affirming completion of the term, align with his public schedule and policy focus through mid-2026. No major health disclosures, legal resolutions, or congressional actions have emerged to alter this trajectory. Midterm outcomes in November 2026 represent the primary near-term variable that could intensify pressure, though historical patterns show second-term presidents rarely exit early absent acute constitutional crises. Traders price in low odds for unforeseen personal or political shocks shifting this baseline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$20,281 Обс.
$20,281 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$20,281 Обс.
$20,281 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's second term, secured through the 2024 election, underpins the 95.9% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Recent administration statements, including Attorney General comments affirming completion of the term, align with his public schedule and policy focus through mid-2026. No major health disclosures, legal resolutions, or congressional actions have emerged to alter this trajectory. Midterm outcomes in November 2026 represent the primary near-term variable that could intensify pressure, though historical patterns show second-term presidents rarely exit early absent acute constitutional crises. Traders price in low odds for unforeseen personal or political shocks shifting this baseline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ET
Обсяг
$20,281Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump's second term, secured through the 2024 election, underpins the 95.9% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Recent administration statements, including Attorney General comments affirming completion of the term, align with his public schedule and policy focus through mid-2026. No major health disclosures, legal resolutions, or congressional actions have emerged to alter this trajectory. Midterm outcomes in November 2026 represent the primary near-term variable that could intensify pressure, though historical patterns show second-term presidents rarely exit early absent acute constitutional crises. Traders price in low odds for unforeseen personal or political shocks shifting this baseline.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$20,281Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Nov 5, 2025, 5:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's second term, secured through the 2024 election, underpins the 95.9% trader consensus against resignation before 2027. Recent administration statements, including Attorney General comments affirming completion of the term, align with his public schedule and policy focus through mid-2026. No major health disclosures, legal resolutions, or congressional actions have emerged to alter this trajectory. Midterm outcomes in November 2026 represent the primary near-term variable that could intensify pressure, though historical patterns show second-term presidents rarely exit early absent acute constitutional crises. Traders price in low odds for unforeseen personal or political shocks shifting this baseline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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