Trader consensus against resignation by the end of 2026 reflects the historical rarity of early presidential departures from office and the absence of any public signals, institutional pressures, or procedural triggers indicating such an outcome. The incumbent remains focused on executive priorities and legislative agenda items, consistent with patterns observed in prior terms. This implied probability of 96.5 percent for no resignation aligns with base rates for full term completion. Even so, realistic scenarios that could alter positioning include significant health developments, unexpected legal resolutions, or personal factors emerging within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоТак
4% шанс
$538,181 Обс.
$538,181 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
Так
4% шанс
$538,181 Обс.
$538,181 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus against resignation by the end of 2026 reflects the historical rarity of early presidential departures from office and the absence of any public signals, institutional pressures, or procedural triggers indicating such an outcome. The incumbent remains focused on executive priorities and legislative agenda items, consistent with patterns observed in prior terms. This implied probability of 96.5 percent for no resignation aligns with base rates for full term completion. Even so, realistic scenarios that could alter positioning include significant health developments, unexpected legal resolutions, or personal factors emerging within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ET
Обсяг
$538,181Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETВирішувач
0x157Ce2d67...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus against resignation by the end of 2026 reflects the historical rarity of early presidential departures from office and the absence of any public signals, institutional pressures, or procedural triggers indicating such an outcome. The incumbent remains focused on executive priorities and legislative agenda items, consistent with patterns observed in prior terms. This implied probability of 96.5 percent for no resignation aligns with base rates for full term completion. Even so, realistic scenarios that could alter positioning include significant health developments, unexpected legal resolutions, or personal factors emerging within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of the United States Donald Trump announces he has resigned or will resign the presidency by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Donald Trump to resign or to announce his resignation (e.g., due to his removal from office by other means, etc.), this market will immediately resolve to "No."
For this market to resolve to "Yes," it is only necessary that Trump announce that he has resigned or will resign. Whether he actually resigns will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US federal government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Обсяг
$538,181Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jul 25, 2025, 2:47 PM ETВирішувач
0x157Ce2d67...Trader consensus against resignation by the end of 2026 reflects the historical rarity of early presidential departures from office and the absence of any public signals, institutional pressures, or procedural triggers indicating such an outcome. The incumbent remains focused on executive priorities and legislative agenda items, consistent with patterns observed in prior terms. This implied probability of 96.5 percent for no resignation aligns with base rates for full term completion. Even so, realistic scenarios that could alter positioning include significant health developments, unexpected legal resolutions, or personal factors emerging within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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