Hamas has repeatedly rejected phased disarmament proposals from the US-led Board of Peace, most recently in April 2026, insisting that Israel must first complete full withdrawal from Gaza and honor all Phase 1 ceasefire terms before any discussion of handing over weapons or maps of tunnel networks. Mediators presented the framework in Cairo in March, outlining gradual relinquishment of arms to a transitional authority under the principle of one weapon, yet Hamas officials described the demands as unacceptable without binding Israeli concessions and warned of risks to internal Palestinian stability. Negotiations remain stalled into June 2026, with fresh talks scheduled in Egypt amid reported ceasefire violations and international pressure to advance reconstruction. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched positions and Hamas's longstanding stance that its military capabilities are non-negotiable absent a comprehensive political resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЧи погодиться Хамас роззброїтися до...?
$1,999,356 Обс.
30 червня 2026
4%
$1,999,356 Обс.
30 червня 2026
4%
Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
Only official announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
Primary resolution sources will include official statements from Hamas leadership; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming a policy of disarmament has been instituted will also qualify.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 29, 2026, 3:39 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Only credible announcements, for example by the widely acknowledged leadership of Hamas, will qualify.
For the purposes of this market, "disarm" refers to a public commitment to relinquish or dismantle its military, whether partially or completely, in the Gaza Strip.
Announcements of partial disarmament (e.g., surrendering a class of weapons or agreeing to disarm in stages or a certain region) will qualify as long as it is part of an acknowledged disarmament process.
Only official announcements will qualify. Informal statements, plans contingent on future conditions, statements of intent without a formal policy directive, or any other statements that do not constitute a formal policy announcement will not be considered.
Primary resolution sources will include official statements from Hamas leadership; however, a wide consensus of credible reporting confirming a policy of disarmament has been instituted will also qualify.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Hamas has repeatedly rejected phased disarmament proposals from the US-led Board of Peace, most recently in April 2026, insisting that Israel must first complete full withdrawal from Gaza and honor all Phase 1 ceasefire terms before any discussion of handing over weapons or maps of tunnel networks. Mediators presented the framework in Cairo in March, outlining gradual relinquishment of arms to a transitional authority under the principle of one weapon, yet Hamas officials described the demands as unacceptable without binding Israeli concessions and warned of risks to internal Palestinian stability. Negotiations remain stalled into June 2026, with fresh talks scheduled in Egypt amid reported ceasefire violations and international pressure to advance reconstruction. Trader consensus reflects these entrenched positions and Hamas's longstanding stance that its military capabilities are non-negotiable absent a comprehensive political resolution.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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