Lebanese President Joseph Aoun has described Hezbollah’s disarmament as non-negotiable yet insists it must occur peacefully without triggering civil conflict, while the group’s leadership under Naim Qassem continues to reject any formal commitment or linkage to Israeli withdrawals. A June 2026 U.S.-brokered framework agreement ties phased Israeli redeployments from southern Lebanon to verified Lebanese Armed Forces control and the dismantling of non-state armed capabilities, including pilot zones south of the Litani River where the army has reported confiscating weapons caches. Israel maintains that progress remains insufficient and conditions further steps on improved Lebanese army effectiveness, with additional talks scheduled for October. Hezbollah has dismissed these arrangements as illegitimate, warning of internal confrontation, leaving traders viewing an official leadership announcement by late 2026 as highly improbable absent major shifts in enforcement or external pressure.

Apr 25 2026

Hezbollah’s senior official publicly declares that “disarmament is an Israeli‑American demand” and that the group will only consider it after Israel fully withdraws, prompting a

April 30 rises to 4%4%

Hezbollah’s senior official publicly declares that “disarmament is an Israeli‑American demand” and that the group will only consider it after Israel fully withdraws, prompting a brief rally to 4 % before the

Apr 23 2026

Hezbollah’s senior MP Ali Fayyad publicly rejects any direct negotiations with Israel while Qassem again declares the group will not surrender its weapons, prompting the market to

April 30 dips to 0%4%

Hezbollah’s senior MP Ali Fayyad publicly rejects any direct negotiations with Israel while Qassem again declares the group will not surrender its weapons, prompting the market to slide back to 0 %

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