**The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated with reduced staffing since a February 2026 ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families amid Iran-related regional tensions, while core diplomatic functions continued.** Subsequent citizen advisories in March–April urged departures due to airstrikes, drone activity, and Hezbollah-linked risks, yet the embassy avoided full closure. By late August 2026, State Department adjustments signaled returning diplomats to Lebanon and other posts as immediate conflict risks eased, with the Beirut mission among the first to increase presence though still below prior levels. As of early September, the embassy remains open for routine services under heightened vigilance alerts focused on flight disruptions and potential escalation. Trader consensus reflects these measured drawdowns rather than full evacuation, with resolution hinging on official U.S. government announcements of complete staff withdrawal. Key near-term influences include diplomatic negotiations, Iranian posture, and any renewed military developments in the region.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоU.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by...?
$119,085 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
December 31
9%
$119,085 Обс.
December 31
$24,983 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. **The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated with reduced staffing since a February 2026 ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families amid Iran-related regional tensions, while core diplomatic functions continued.** Subsequent citizen advisories in March–April urged departures due to airstrikes, drone activity, and Hezbollah-linked risks, yet the embassy avoided full closure. By late August 2026, State Department adjustments signaled returning diplomats to Lebanon and other posts as immediate conflict risks eased, with the Beirut mission among the first to increase presence though still below prior levels. As of early September, the embassy remains open for routine services under heightened vigilance alerts focused on flight disruptions and potential escalation. Trader consensus reflects these measured drawdowns rather than full evacuation, with resolution hinging on official U.S. government announcements of complete staff withdrawal. Key near-term influences include diplomatic negotiations, Iranian posture, and any renewed military developments in the region.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Ринок відкрито: Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
Обсяг
$119,085Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy. **The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated with reduced staffing since a February 2026 ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families amid Iran-related regional tensions, while core diplomatic functions continued.** Subsequent citizen advisories in March–April urged departures due to airstrikes, drone activity, and Hezbollah-linked risks, yet the embassy avoided full closure. By late August 2026, State Department adjustments signaled returning diplomats to Lebanon and other posts as immediate conflict risks eased, with the Beirut mission among the first to increase presence though still below prior levels. As of early September, the embassy remains open for routine services under heightened vigilance alerts focused on flight disruptions and potential escalation. Trader consensus reflects these measured drawdowns rather than full evacuation, with resolution hinging on official U.S. government announcements of complete staff withdrawal. Key near-term influences include diplomatic negotiations, Iranian posture, and any renewed military developments in the region.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Beirut, Lebanon, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe.
Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count.
The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Обсяг
$119,085Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jun 30, 2026, 5:10 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...**The U.S. Embassy in Beirut has operated with reduced staffing since a February 2026 ordered departure of non-essential personnel and families amid Iran-related regional tensions, while core diplomatic functions continued.** Subsequent citizen advisories in March–April urged departures due to airstrikes, drone activity, and Hezbollah-linked risks, yet the embassy avoided full closure. By late August 2026, State Department adjustments signaled returning diplomats to Lebanon and other posts as immediate conflict risks eased, with the Beirut mission among the first to increase presence though still below prior levels. As of early September, the embassy remains open for routine services under heightened vigilance alerts focused on flight disruptions and potential escalation. Trader consensus reflects these measured drawdowns rather than full evacuation, with resolution hinging on official U.S. government announcements of complete staff withdrawal. Key near-term influences include diplomatic negotiations, Iranian posture, and any renewed military developments in the region.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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