Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges center on the Strait of Hormuz, where Washington has conducted targeted strikes against Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps positions since early September 2026 in response to alleged threats to commercial shipping. These actions follow a fragile June memorandum of understanding that paused larger-scale fighting but left core issues like Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and navigation unresolved. Periodic tit-for-tat strikes have continued without escalation to sustained ground operations or congressional authorization for formal hostilities. Traders weigh the administration's stated preference for negotiated outcomes and congressional resistance to broader conflict against risks of miscalculation that could prompt a war declaration before any market resolution date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЧи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Ірану за...?
Чи будуть США офіційно оголошувати війну Ірану за...?
$7,815,194 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
31 грудня
2%
$7,815,194 Обс.
31 грудня
$842,559 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges center on the Strait of Hormuz, where Washington has conducted targeted strikes against Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps positions since early September 2026 in response to alleged threats to commercial shipping. These actions follow a fragile June memorandum of understanding that paused larger-scale fighting but left core issues like Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and navigation unresolved. Periodic tit-for-tat strikes have continued without escalation to sustained ground operations or congressional authorization for formal hostilities. Traders weigh the administration's stated preference for negotiated outcomes and congressional resistance to broader conflict against risks of miscalculation that could prompt a war declaration before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ET
Обсяг
$7,815,194Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges center on the Strait of Hormuz, where Washington has conducted targeted strikes against Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps positions since early September 2026 in response to alleged threats to commercial shipping. These actions follow a fragile June memorandum of understanding that paused larger-scale fighting but left core issues like Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and navigation unresolved. Periodic tit-for-tat strikes have continued without escalation to sustained ground operations or congressional authorization for formal hostilities. Traders weigh the administration's stated preference for negotiated outcomes and congressional resistance to broader conflict against risks of miscalculation that could prompt a war declaration before any market resolution date.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States formally declares war on Iran through an act of Congress between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, Congress must pass a formal declaration of war, consistent with its constitutional authority under Article I, Section 8. Authorizations for the use of military force (AUMFs), executive orders, presidential statements, or military actions do not qualify unless accompanied by a formal declaration of war enacted by Congress and signed into law.
The resolution source will be a clear consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$7,815,194Дата завершення
Jan 1, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 12, 2026, 3:49 PM ETВирішувач
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military exchanges center on the Strait of Hormuz, where Washington has conducted targeted strikes against Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps positions since early September 2026 in response to alleged threats to commercial shipping. These actions follow a fragile June memorandum of understanding that paused larger-scale fighting but left core issues like Iran's nuclear program, sanctions relief, and navigation unresolved. Periodic tit-for-tat strikes have continued without escalation to sustained ground operations or congressional authorization for formal hostilities. Traders weigh the administration's stated preference for negotiated outcomes and congressional resistance to broader conflict against risks of miscalculation that could prompt a war declaration before any market resolution date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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