The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, created an immediate power vacuum that triggered Iran's constitutional succession process. An interim council including President Masoud Pezeshkian took temporary control while the Assembly of Experts elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March, signaling continuity within the clerical establishment despite the 2026 Iran conflict and related diplomatic pressures. As of mid-August, Mojtaba remains in the role with limited public visibility, while recent actions such as the July reappointment of the judiciary chief underscore efforts to project stability amid ongoing regional tensions and internal debates over negotiations. Trader assessments of any further near-term leadership shifts hinge on verifiable military or diplomatic escalations within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$23,740,523 Обс.
Aug 21, 2026
August 22
<1%
August 31
1%
September 30
5%
October 31
8%
November 30
10%
31 грудня
16%
June 30, 2027
25%
$23,740,523 Обс.
August 22
$74,693 Обс.
<1%
August 31
$1,230,550 Обс.
1%
September 30
$471,675 Обс.
5%
October 31
$20,295 Обс.
8%
November 30
$17,935 Обс.
10%
31 грудня
$4,070,061 Обс.
16%
June 30, 2027
$247,125 Обс.
25%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, created an immediate power vacuum that triggered Iran's constitutional succession process. An interim council including President Masoud Pezeshkian took temporary control while the Assembly of Experts elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March, signaling continuity within the clerical establishment despite the 2026 Iran conflict and related diplomatic pressures. As of mid-August, Mojtaba remains in the role with limited public visibility, while recent actions such as the July reappointment of the judiciary chief underscore efforts to project stability amid ongoing regional tensions and internal debates over negotiations. Trader assessments of any further near-term leadership shifts hinge on verifiable military or diplomatic escalations within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,740,523Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, created an immediate power vacuum that triggered Iran's constitutional succession process. An interim council including President Masoud Pezeshkian took temporary control while the Assembly of Experts elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March, signaling continuity within the clerical establishment despite the 2026 Iran conflict and related diplomatic pressures. As of mid-August, Mojtaba remains in the role with limited public visibility, while recent actions such as the July reappointment of the judiciary chief underscore efforts to project stability amid ongoing regional tensions and internal debates over negotiations. Trader assessments of any further near-term leadership shifts hinge on verifiable military or diplomatic escalations within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Supreme Leader of Iran, Mojtaba Khamenei, ceases to be the de facto leader of Iran at any point between market creation and the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mojtaba Khamenei will be considered to no longer be the de facto leader of Iran if he is removed from power, is detained, or otherwise loses his position or is prevented from acting as the de facto leader of Iran within this market's timeframe.
An official announcement of Mojtaba Khamenei’s resignation or removal will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of when the announced departure goes into effect.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$23,740,523Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Aug 7, 2026, 10:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The assassination of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in a U.S.-Israeli airstrike on February 28, 2026, created an immediate power vacuum that triggered Iran's constitutional succession process. An interim council including President Masoud Pezeshkian took temporary control while the Assembly of Experts elected Mojtaba Khamenei as the new supreme leader in early March, signaling continuity within the clerical establishment despite the 2026 Iran conflict and related diplomatic pressures. As of mid-August, Mojtaba remains in the role with limited public visibility, while recent actions such as the July reappointment of the judiciary chief underscore efforts to project stability amid ongoing regional tensions and internal debates over negotiations. Trader assessments of any further near-term leadership shifts hinge on verifiable military or diplomatic escalations within the resolution window.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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