Recent polling places President Trump's job approval near second-term lows around 37 percent amid ongoing public dissatisfaction with the Iran conflict and elevated living costs. Traders assign a 96.5 percent probability that the weekly average will rise, reflecting expectations of modest stabilization or minor rebound typical after extended declines absent fresh negative catalysts. Key scheduled influences this week include any new economic indicators or diplomatic statements that could shift sentiment. Late-breaking developments such as escalated military action abroad, adverse inflation data, or major partisan controversies remain the primary factors that could still reverse the anticipated direction before the market resolves.