Ongoing Russia-Ukraine tensions and associated sanctions continue to constrain high-level bilateral engagement, contributing to trader consensus favoring no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end. Diplomatic protocols, security logistics, and competing priorities in U.S. and Russian foreign policy further limit near-term summit prospects. China holds the leading positive probability as a potential neutral venue amid multilateral forums, while Russia and the United States remain distant options given domestic political considerations and alliance dynamics. No major verified diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled announcements have emerged in recent weeks to shift these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 77%
China 14%
Russia 2.6%
United States 1.5%
$279,012 Обс.
$279,012 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
77%
China
14%
Russia
3%
United States
1%
Other
1%
Gulf country
1%
Belarus
1%
South Korea
1%
Other EU country
<1%
Switzerland
<1%
Turkey
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Finland
<1%
Australia
<1%
Japan
<1%
No meeting by December 31 77%
China 14%
Russia 2.6%
United States 1.5%
$279,012 Обс.
$279,012 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$60,851 Обс.
77%
China
$28,668 Обс.
14%
Russia
$33,648 Обс.
3%
United States
$12,279 Обс.
1%
Other
$10,645 Обс.
1%
Gulf country
$8,701 Обс.
1%
Belarus
$9,567 Обс.
1%
South Korea
$10,498 Обс.
1%
Other EU country
$8,811 Обс.
<1%
Switzerland
$9,956 Обс.
<1%
Turkey
$15,807 Обс.
<1%
Ukraine
$9,690 Обс.
<1%
Finland
$8,525 Обс.
<1%
Australia
$37,271 Обс.
<1%
Japan
$14,097 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing Russia-Ukraine tensions and associated sanctions continue to constrain high-level bilateral engagement, contributing to trader consensus favoring no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end. Diplomatic protocols, security logistics, and competing priorities in U.S. and Russian foreign policy further limit near-term summit prospects. China holds the leading positive probability as a potential neutral venue amid multilateral forums, while Russia and the United States remain distant options given domestic political considerations and alliance dynamics. No major verified diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled announcements have emerged in recent weeks to shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Обсяг
$279,012Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing Russia-Ukraine tensions and associated sanctions continue to constrain high-level bilateral engagement, contributing to trader consensus favoring no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end. Diplomatic protocols, security logistics, and competing priorities in U.S. and Russian foreign policy further limit near-term summit prospects. China holds the leading positive probability as a potential neutral venue amid multilateral forums, while Russia and the United States remain distant options given domestic political considerations and alliance dynamics. No major verified diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled announcements have emerged in recent weeks to shift these implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Обсяг
$279,012Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ongoing Russia-Ukraine tensions and associated sanctions continue to constrain high-level bilateral engagement, contributing to trader consensus favoring no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end. Diplomatic protocols, security logistics, and competing priorities in U.S. and Russian foreign policy further limit near-term summit prospects. China holds the leading positive probability as a potential neutral venue amid multilateral forums, while Russia and the United States remain distant options given domestic political considerations and alliance dynamics. No major verified diplomatic breakthroughs or scheduled announcements have emerged in recent weeks to shift these implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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