Recent Kremlin statements confirm discussions between Putin and Trump about a possible trilateral meeting with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, scheduled for November 18-19. Russian officials, including Yuri Ushakov and Dmitry Peskov, have noted that the idea was raised during bilateral talks and a recent phone call, with Putin expected to attend while U.S. confirmation remains pending. This diplomatic channel, alongside ongoing U.S.-China engagement, positions China as the leading venue in trader assessments. The 30.5% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects uncertainty over attendance and whether any encounter would qualify as a qualifying bilateral summit. Low odds on the United States and other sites align with the absence of announced plans or comparable signals in those locations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоChina 64%
No meeting by December 31 31%
United States 3.5%
Gulf country <1%
$1,167,472 Обс.
$1,167,472 Обс.

China
64%

No meeting by December 31
31%

United States
3%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Russia
1%

Turkey
1%

Switzerland
1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
China 64%
No meeting by December 31 31%
United States 3.5%
Gulf country <1%
$1,167,472 Обс.
$1,167,472 Обс.

China
64%

No meeting by December 31
31%

United States
3%

Gulf country
1%

Other
1%

Russia
1%

Turkey
1%

Switzerland
1%

Finland
<1%

Other EU country
<1%

Belarus
<1%

South Korea
<1%

Japan
<1%

Australia
<1%

Ukraine
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Ринок відкрито: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent Kremlin statements confirm discussions between Putin and Trump about a possible trilateral meeting with Xi Jinping on the sidelines of the APEC summit in Shenzhen, China, scheduled for November 18-19. Russian officials, including Yuri Ushakov and Dmitry Peskov, have noted that the idea was raised during bilateral talks and a recent phone call, with Putin expected to attend while U.S. confirmation remains pending. This diplomatic channel, alongside ongoing U.S.-China engagement, positions China as the leading venue in trader assessments. The 30.5% probability assigned to no meeting by year-end reflects uncertainty over attendance and whether any encounter would qualify as a qualifying bilateral summit. Low odds on the United States and other sites align with the absence of announced plans or comparable signals in those locations.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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