**Maduro was captured by U.S. forces in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation and flown to New York to face federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses in the Southern District of New York.** He and his wife remain detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn under special administrative measures while pleading not guilty. The narco-terrorism count alone carries a 20-year mandatory minimum, with a potential maximum of life imprisonment if convicted on multiple counts. Court proceedings have included an initial appearance and a March 2026 hearing, with the next scheduled for June 30, 2026. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of a plea agreement, case dismissal on procedural or diplomatic grounds, or lengthy delays against the risk of conviction and substantial consecutive sentences, producing the current distribution across no prison time and various term brackets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоБез тюремного ув'язнення 35%
60+ 25%
<20 11.0%
20–40 10.5%
$567,066 Обс.
$567,066 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
Без тюремного ув'язнення
35%
<20
11%
20–40
11%
40–60
6%
60+
25%
Без тюремного ув'язнення 35%
60+ 25%
<20 11.0%
20–40 10.5%
$567,066 Обс.
$567,066 Обс.
Dec 31, 2027
Без тюремного ув'язнення
$382,563 Обс.
35%
<20
$76,691 Обс.
11%
20–40
$50,339 Обс.
11%
40–60
$20,195 Обс.
6%
60+
$37,279 Обс.
25%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Maduro was captured by U.S. forces in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation and flown to New York to face federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses in the Southern District of New York.** He and his wife remain detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn under special administrative measures while pleading not guilty. The narco-terrorism count alone carries a 20-year mandatory minimum, with a potential maximum of life imprisonment if convicted on multiple counts. Court proceedings have included an initial appearance and a March 2026 hearing, with the next scheduled for June 30, 2026. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of a plea agreement, case dismissal on procedural or diplomatic grounds, or lengthy delays against the risk of conviction and substantial consecutive sentences, producing the current distribution across no prison time and various term brackets.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$567,066Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Maduro was captured by U.S. forces in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation and flown to New York to face federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses in the Southern District of New York.** He and his wife remain detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn under special administrative measures while pleading not guilty. The narco-terrorism count alone carries a 20-year mandatory minimum, with a potential maximum of life imprisonment if convicted on multiple counts. Court proceedings have included an initial appearance and a March 2026 hearing, with the next scheduled for June 30, 2026. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of a plea agreement, case dismissal on procedural or diplomatic grounds, or lengthy delays against the risk of conviction and substantial consecutive sentences, producing the current distribution across no prison time and various term brackets.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$567,066Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Maduro was captured by U.S. forces in Caracas on January 3, 2026, during a military operation and flown to New York to face federal charges including narco-terrorism conspiracy, cocaine importation conspiracy, and weapons offenses in the Southern District of New York.** He and his wife remain detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center in Brooklyn under special administrative measures while pleading not guilty. The narco-terrorism count alone carries a 20-year mandatory minimum, with a potential maximum of life imprisonment if convicted on multiple counts. Court proceedings have included an initial appearance and a March 2026 hearing, with the next scheduled for June 30, 2026. Traders appear to weigh the possibility of a plea agreement, case dismissal on procedural or diplomatic grounds, or lengthy delays against the risk of conviction and substantial consecutive sentences, producing the current distribution across no prison time and various term brackets.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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