**Maduro faces U.S. federal drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism charges after his January 2026 capture during a military operation in Caracas, with pretrial detention ongoing at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center.** A September 2 motion seeks dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with prosecutors due to respond by October 2 and a November 17 hearing scheduled; the June 2027 trial date hinges on that ruling. U.S. non-recognition of Maduro’s presidency since 2019 undercuts the immunity argument, yet the filing introduces meaningful uncertainty before any jury considers evidence of alleged cocaine conspiracies and weapons counts that carry mandatory minimums of 20 years to life. Traders appear to price the near-term procedural risk of dismissal or acquittal more heavily than a future conviction and lengthy sentence, consistent with the lead of the “no prison time” outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоЧас в 'язниці Мадуро?
Час в 'язниці Мадуро?
Без тюремного ув'язнення 59%
60+ 28%
<20 8.9%
40–60 1.0%
$792,110 Обс.
$792,110 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
Без тюремного ув'язнення
59%
<20
9%
20–40
1%
40–60
1%
60+
28%
Без тюремного ув'язнення 59%
60+ 28%
<20 8.9%
40–60 1.0%
$792,110 Обс.
$792,110 Обс.
Dec 30, 2027
Без тюремного ув'язнення
$498,423 Обс.
59%
<20
$113,344 Обс.
9%
20–40
$60,579 Обс.
1%
40–60
$27,866 Обс.
1%
60+
$91,898 Обс.
28%
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Maduro faces U.S. federal drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism charges after his January 2026 capture during a military operation in Caracas, with pretrial detention ongoing at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center.** A September 2 motion seeks dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with prosecutors due to respond by October 2 and a November 17 hearing scheduled; the June 2027 trial date hinges on that ruling. U.S. non-recognition of Maduro’s presidency since 2019 undercuts the immunity argument, yet the filing introduces meaningful uncertainty before any jury considers evidence of alleged cocaine conspiracies and weapons counts that carry mandatory minimums of 20 years to life. Traders appear to price the near-term procedural risk of dismissal or acquittal more heavily than a future conviction and lengthy sentence, consistent with the lead of the “no prison time” outcome.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ET
Обсяг
$792,110Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Maduro faces U.S. federal drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism charges after his January 2026 capture during a military operation in Caracas, with pretrial detention ongoing at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center.** A September 2 motion seeks dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with prosecutors due to respond by October 2 and a November 17 hearing scheduled; the June 2027 trial date hinges on that ruling. U.S. non-recognition of Maduro’s presidency since 2019 undercuts the immunity argument, yet the filing introduces meaningful uncertainty before any jury considers evidence of alleged cocaine conspiracies and weapons counts that carry mandatory minimums of 20 years to life. Traders appear to price the near-term procedural risk of dismissal or acquittal more heavily than a future conviction and lengthy sentence, consistent with the lead of the “no prison time” outcome.
Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was indicted in the Southern District of New York on January 3, 2026 on charges including Narco-Terrorism Conspiracy and Cocaine Importation Conspiracy. Maduro was indicted alongside alleged co-conspirators in an indictment titled "United States of America V. Nicolás Maduro Moros, Diosdado Cabello Rondón, Ramón Rodríguez Chacín, Cilia Adela Flores de Maduro, Nicolás Ernesto Maduro Guerra".
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the prison sentence, if any, imposed on Nicolas Maduro (Nicolas Maduro Moros) relating to this indictment by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve immediately based on the first sentence rendered in this case, regardless of any appeals. If Maduro is found not guilty, there is a mistrial, or if the first sentencing does not include any jail or prison time, this market will resolve to "No Prison Time."
If no sentencing takes place by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will also resolve to "No Prison Time."
If Maduro is sentenced to life imprisonment without a specified numerical term of years, this market will resolve to the highest range bracket.
If the imposed sentence falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
For the purposes of this market, it does not matter whether the sentence is concurrent or consecutive to any existing sentence Maduro is already serving. The market will resolve based on the total prison sentence imposed in the first sentencing for this case.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United States court system or other involved U.S. government sources; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$792,110Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2027Ринок відкрито
Jan 4, 2026, 12:29 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...**Maduro faces U.S. federal drug-trafficking and narco-terrorism charges after his January 2026 capture during a military operation in Caracas, with pretrial detention ongoing at Brooklyn’s Metropolitan Detention Center.** A September 2 motion seeks dismissal on head-of-state immunity grounds, with prosecutors due to respond by October 2 and a November 17 hearing scheduled; the June 2027 trial date hinges on that ruling. U.S. non-recognition of Maduro’s presidency since 2019 undercuts the immunity argument, yet the filing introduces meaningful uncertainty before any jury considers evidence of alleged cocaine conspiracies and weapons counts that carry mandatory minimums of 20 years to life. Traders appear to price the near-term procedural risk of dismissal or acquittal more heavily than a future conviction and lengthy sentence, consistent with the lead of the “no prison time” outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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