Former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, faces a 91.5% implied probability of no prison sentence following his February 19, 2026, arrest by Thames Valley Police on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein files. Released after 12 hours of questioning and with his properties searched, he remains under investigation without formal charges, indictment, or trial date as of mid-April—typical of protracted UK probes into serious allegations. Absent new prosecutorial developments like a Crown Prosecution Service decision or court summons, traders reflect skepticism on conviction odds, given prior civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre and no prior criminal case, while line-of-succession debates underscore institutional fallout without advancing legal jeopardy.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено$206,349 Обс.
$206,349 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
$206,349 Обс.
$206,349 Обс.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, faces a 91.5% implied probability of no prison sentence following his February 19, 2026, arrest by Thames Valley Police on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein files. Released after 12 hours of questioning and with his properties searched, he remains under investigation without formal charges, indictment, or trial date as of mid-April—typical of protracted UK probes into serious allegations. Absent new prosecutorial developments like a Crown Prosecution Service decision or court summons, traders reflect skepticism on conviction odds, given prior civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre and no prior criminal case, while line-of-succession debates underscore institutional fallout without advancing legal jeopardy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ET
Обсяг
$206,349Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, faces a 91.5% implied probability of no prison sentence following his February 19, 2026, arrest by Thames Valley Police on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein files. Released after 12 hours of questioning and with his properties searched, he remains under investigation without formal charges, indictment, or trial date as of mid-April—typical of protracted UK probes into serious allegations. Absent new prosecutorial developments like a Crown Prosecution Service decision or court summons, traders reflect skepticism on conviction odds, given prior civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre and no prior criminal case, while line-of-succession debates underscore institutional fallout without advancing legal jeopardy.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Prince Andrew is sentenced to any time in jail/prison for any charges, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will remain open through December 31, 2026 or until Prince Andrew is sentenced to time in jail/prison, regardless of any initial sentencing that does not include prison. Any sentencing will qualify, regardless of subsequent appeals or changes to the sentence.
Civil lawsuits, regulatory actions, administrative complaints, investigations without charges, internal employment actions, or public accusations without the filing of criminal charges will not qualify, even if widely reported or described colloquially as “charges.”
If at any point all charges against Prince Andrew for all criminal cases are dropped for whatever reason, due to a plea agreement without an admission of guilt, a dismissal, or any other situation in which no judgement is rendered or will be rendered by the court, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the relevant government and law enforcement; however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Обсяг
$206,349Дата завершення
Dec 31, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 19, 2026, 11:21 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former Prince Andrew, now Andrew Mountbatten-Windsor, faces a 91.5% implied probability of no prison sentence following his February 19, 2026, arrest by Thames Valley Police on suspicion of misconduct in public office tied to Jeffrey Epstein files. Released after 12 hours of questioning and with his properties searched, he remains under investigation without formal charges, indictment, or trial date as of mid-April—typical of protracted UK probes into serious allegations. Absent new prosecutorial developments like a Crown Prosecution Service decision or court summons, traders reflect skepticism on conviction odds, given prior civil settlement with Virginia Giuffre and no prior criminal case, while line-of-succession debates underscore institutional fallout without advancing legal jeopardy.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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