Trader consensus prices a 65% implied probability of House impeachment against President Trump before January 20, 2029, primarily reflecting forecasts of Democrats regaining a House majority in the 2026 midterms—where some models show Democratic odds above 85%—and explicit pledges from Democratic leaders to pursue impeachment upon taking control. Recent catalysts include Trump's April 7 threats against Iran, prompting dozens of Democrats to demand removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment, alongside introduced resolutions like H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 charging high crimes and misdemeanors. House Democrats' April 15 articles against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth signal aggressive oversight plans, though GOP defenses and DNI Gabbard's whistleblower referral underscore partisan divides, with Senate conviction unlikely absent a supermajority shift. Midterm outcomes remain pivotal.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWill Trump be impeached before his term ends?
Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?
$53,837 Обс.
$53,837 Обс.
Jan 20, 2029
$53,837 Обс.
$53,837 Обс.
Jan 20, 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices a 65% implied probability of House impeachment against President Trump before January 20, 2029, primarily reflecting forecasts of Democrats regaining a House majority in the 2026 midterms—where some models show Democratic odds above 85%—and explicit pledges from Democratic leaders to pursue impeachment upon taking control. Recent catalysts include Trump's April 7 threats against Iran, prompting dozens of Democrats to demand removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment, alongside introduced resolutions like H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 charging high crimes and misdemeanors. House Democrats' April 15 articles against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth signal aggressive oversight plans, though GOP defenses and DNI Gabbard's whistleblower referral underscore partisan divides, with Senate conviction unlikely absent a supermajority shift. Midterm outcomes remain pivotal.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Ринок відкрито: Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Обсяг
$53,837Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2029Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Trader consensus prices a 65% implied probability of House impeachment against President Trump before January 20, 2029, primarily reflecting forecasts of Democrats regaining a House majority in the 2026 midterms—where some models show Democratic odds above 85%—and explicit pledges from Democratic leaders to pursue impeachment upon taking control. Recent catalysts include Trump's April 7 threats against Iran, prompting dozens of Democrats to demand removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment, alongside introduced resolutions like H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 charging high crimes and misdemeanors. House Democrats' April 15 articles against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth signal aggressive oversight plans, though GOP defenses and DNI Gabbard's whistleblower referral underscore partisan divides, with Senate conviction unlikely absent a supermajority shift. Midterm outcomes remain pivotal.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Обсяг
$53,837Дата завершення
Jan 20, 2029Ринок відкрито
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus prices a 65% implied probability of House impeachment against President Trump before January 20, 2029, primarily reflecting forecasts of Democrats regaining a House majority in the 2026 midterms—where some models show Democratic odds above 85%—and explicit pledges from Democratic leaders to pursue impeachment upon taking control. Recent catalysts include Trump's April 7 threats against Iran, prompting dozens of Democrats to demand removal via impeachment or the 25th Amendment, alongside introduced resolutions like H.Res.353 and H.Res.939 charging high crimes and misdemeanors. House Democrats' April 15 articles against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth signal aggressive oversight plans, though GOP defenses and DNI Gabbard's whistleblower referral underscore partisan divides, with Senate conviction unlikely absent a supermajority shift. Midterm outcomes remain pivotal.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання