Democratic control of the House remains insufficient to advance articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, which were introduced in April 2026 over allegations tied to military actions in Iran and referred to the Judiciary Committee without further action. The Republican majority shows no inclination to schedule hearings, debate, or a floor vote in the 13 days left before the June 30 resolution deadline, consistent with historical patterns where opposition-led resolutions stall absent bipartisan consensus or urgent new evidence. Traders assign a 98.9% probability to “No” because the procedural calendar and chamber arithmetic leave no realistic path for House passage. A late-breaking scandal or unexpected Republican defections could theoretically compress timelines, though both remain improbable given current legislative priorities and the limited session days remaining.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоPete Hegseth impeached by...?
$169,353 Обс.

December 31, 2026
87%

June 30, 2026
<1%
$169,353 Обс.

December 31, 2026
87%

June 30, 2026
<1%
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Ринок відкрито: Apr 6, 2026, 10:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
If the named individual permanently vacates the specified office prior to the satisfaction of the criteria for a "Yes" resolution, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic control of the House remains insufficient to advance articles of impeachment against Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, which were introduced in April 2026 over allegations tied to military actions in Iran and referred to the Judiciary Committee without further action. The Republican majority shows no inclination to schedule hearings, debate, or a floor vote in the 13 days left before the June 30 resolution deadline, consistent with historical patterns where opposition-led resolutions stall absent bipartisan consensus or urgent new evidence. Traders assign a 98.9% probability to “No” because the procedural calendar and chamber arithmetic leave no realistic path for House passage. A late-breaking scandal or unexpected Republican defections could theoretically compress timelines, though both remain improbable given current legislative priorities and the limited session days remaining.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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