Trump’s approval rating has remained underwater in the mid-to-high 30s through early September 2026, with recent polling averages showing roughly 36-40% approve and 57-60% disapprove. Persistent voter dissatisfaction with the economy, cost of living, and inflation has weighed on sentiment, compounded by the prolonged U.S. conflict with Iran that began in late February and contributed to elevated gasoline prices. Recent developments, including tariff impacts and mixed results from ceasefire efforts, have limited gains even among some Republican voters. The November 2026 midterms and any further diplomatic or economic data releases in the fall represent key near-term catalysts that could shift public perception and influence the year’s eventual peak.