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icon for Next Senate Majority Leader?

Next Senate Majority Leader?

icon for Next Senate Majority Leader?

Next Senate Majority Leader?

John Thune 45%

Chuck Schumer 34%

Brian Schatz 5.2%

Tom Cotton 2.7%

Polymarket

$155,233 Обс.

John Thune 45%

Chuck Schumer 34%

Brian Schatz 5.2%

Tom Cotton 2.7%

Polymarket

$155,233 Обс.

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$26,101 Обс.

45%

icon for Chuck Schumer

Chuck Schumer

$14,402 Обс.

34%

icon for Brian Schatz

Brian Schatz

$2,882 Обс.

5%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$7,630 Обс.

3%

icon for Steve Daines

Steve Daines

$25,051 Обс.

1%

icon for John Barrasso

John Barrasso

$4,889 Обс.

1%

icon for Patty Murray

Patty Murray

$5,031 Обс.

1%

icon for Cory Booker

Cory Booker

$4,128 Обс.

<1%

icon for Amy Klobuchar

Amy Klobuchar

$4,673 Обс.

<1%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$5,349 Обс.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The tight pricing between John Thune at 44.5% and Chuck Schumer at 33.5% stems primarily from uncertainty over Senate control after the November 2026 elections, which will determine which party's caucus selects the next majority leader. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 edge, but the map—with 22 GOP seats and 13 Democratic seats contested—features multiple competitive races in states such as Michigan, Maine, Ohio, and Iowa, where candidate recruitment, turnout, and national conditions could produce a narrow flip. Recent polling and forecasts show Democrats gaining ground amid declining presidential approval ratings, while Thune has publicly described the environment as competitive and Schumer has highlighted Democratic recruiting successes. Internal Democratic tensions over Schumer's leadership and Republican caucus cohesion behind Thune add secondary layers, though lower-priced alternatives like Brian Schatz or Tom Cotton remain distant long shots pending the election outcome and subsequent conference votes.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Обсяг
$155,233
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.The tight pricing between John Thune at 44.5% and Chuck Schumer at 33.5% stems primarily from uncertainty over Senate control after the November 2026 elections, which will determine which party's caucus selects the next majority leader. Republicans currently hold a 53-47 edge, but the map—with 22 GOP seats and 13 Democratic seats contested—features multiple competitive races in states such as Michigan, Maine, Ohio, and Iowa, where candidate recruitment, turnout, and national conditions could produce a narrow flip. Recent polling and forecasts show Democrats gaining ground amid declining presidential approval ratings, while Thune has publicly described the environment as competitive and Schumer has highlighted Democratic recruiting successes. Internal Democratic tensions over Schumer's leadership and Republican caucus cohesion behind Thune add secondary layers, though lower-priced alternatives like Brian Schatz or Tom Cotton remain distant long shots pending the election outcome and subsequent conference votes.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Обсяг
$155,233
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Вирішувач

0x69c47De9D...

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Senate Majority Leader?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «John Thune» з 45%, далі «Chuck Schumer» з 34%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Senate Majority Leader?» згенерував $155.2K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 23, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Senate Majority Leader?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Senate Majority Leader?» — «John Thune» з 45%. Наступний — «Chuck Schumer» з 34%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Senate Majority Leader?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.