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Вибори·Сенат

Next Senate Majority Leader?

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Вибори·Сенат

Next Senate Majority Leader?

Chuck Schumer 30%

John Thune 21%

Brian Schatz 13%

Cory Booker 6.8%

Polymarket

$33,526 Обс.

Chuck Schumer 30%

John Thune 21%

Brian Schatz 13%

Cory Booker 6.8%

Polymarket

$33,526 Обс.

Will Chuck Schumer be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Chuck Schumer

$3,540 Обс.

30%

Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

John Thune

$480 Обс.

21%

Will Brian Schatz be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Brian Schatz

$861 Обс.

13%

Will Cory Booker be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Cory Booker

$527 Обс.

7%

Will John Barrasso be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

John Barrasso

$355 Обс.

5%

Will Lindsey Graham be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Lindsey Graham

$8,427 Обс.

4%

Will Mark Kelly be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Mark Kelly

$629 Обс.

4%

Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Tom Cotton

$192 Обс.

3%

Will Steve Daines be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Steve Daines

$18,016 Обс.

3%

Will Patty Murray be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Patty Murray

$87 Обс.

3%

Will Amy Klobuchar be the next Senate Majority Leader? icon

Amy Klobuchar

$412 Обс.

1%

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Republicans currently hold a 53-47 Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune, but trader consensus tilts toward a Democratic flip after the November 2026 midterms, pricing Schumer's return at 30% amid a map where Democrats defend fewer seats and benefit from historical midterm losses for the president's party. Thune trails at 21% despite his incumbency and Senate Leadership Fund's $342 million investment in battleground states, reflecting GOP vulnerabilities in competitive races like those highlighted in recent Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings and early polls showing narrow tossups. Internal Republican tensions, including President Trump's pressure on Thune over agenda items like the SAVE Act and filibuster reform, add uncertainty, while Democrats outline multiple paths to a slim majority. Primaries through summer and shifting polls could widen leads for top contenders.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Обсяг
$33,526
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.Republicans currently hold a 53-47 Senate majority under Majority Leader John Thune, but trader consensus tilts toward a Democratic flip after the November 2026 midterms, pricing Schumer's return at 30% amid a map where Democrats defend fewer seats and benefit from historical midterm losses for the president's party. Thune trails at 21% despite his incumbency and Senate Leadership Fund's $342 million investment in battleground states, reflecting GOP vulnerabilities in competitive races like those highlighted in recent Sabato's Crystal Ball ratings and early polls showing narrow tossups. Internal Republican tensions, including President Trump's pressure on Thune over agenda items like the SAVE Act and filibuster reform, add uncertainty, while Democrats outline multiple paths to a slim majority. Primaries through summer and shifting polls could widen leads for top contenders.

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election.

This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate.

If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Обсяг
$33,526
Дата завершення
Jan 3, 2027
Ринок відкрито
Mar 23, 2026, 7:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«Next Senate Majority Leader?» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 11 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Chuck Schumer» з 30%, далі «John Thune» з 21%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «Next Senate Majority Leader?» згенерував $33.5K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Mar 23, 2026. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «Next Senate Majority Leader?», перегляньте 11 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «Next Senate Majority Leader?» — «Chuck Schumer» з 30%. Наступний — «John Thune» з 21%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «Next Senate Majority Leader?» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.