Trader consensus favors 115-130 million House votes in the November 3, 2026 midterms, with top bins tightly clustered as recent special elections showed Democrats overperforming 2024 margins by double digits through stronger relative turnout, fueled by President Trump's approval dipping below 40% amid inflation concerns and foreign policy tensions. Generic ballot polls give Democrats a narrow edge, signaling competitive battleground races that historically elevate participation above 2022's 108 million total, akin to 2018's polarization-driven surge. The contest stays close due to uncertain enthusiasm gaps, varying primary turnout trends, and base midterm rates near 47% of voting-eligible population; upcoming generic polls, economic indicators, or mobilization in swing states could tip probabilities toward higher engagement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено115-120m 22%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 13%
120-125m 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
4%
85-90m
9%
90-95m
<1%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
6%
105-110m
12%
110-115m
18%
115-120m
22%
120-125m
13%
125-130m
24%
130m+
6%
115-120m 22%
125-130m 17%
110-115m 13%
120-125m 13%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$319 Обс.
4%
85-90m
$419 Обс.
9%
90-95m
$831 Обс.
<1%
95-100m
$269 Обс.
3%
100-105m
$631 Обс.
6%
105-110m
$431 Обс.
12%
110-115m
$440 Обс.
18%
115-120m
$1,020 Обс.
22%
120-125m
$371 Обс.
13%
125-130m
$1,158 Обс.
24%
130m+
$245 Обс.
6%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 115-130 million House votes in the November 3, 2026 midterms, with top bins tightly clustered as recent special elections showed Democrats overperforming 2024 margins by double digits through stronger relative turnout, fueled by President Trump's approval dipping below 40% amid inflation concerns and foreign policy tensions. Generic ballot polls give Democrats a narrow edge, signaling competitive battleground races that historically elevate participation above 2022's 108 million total, akin to 2018's polarization-driven surge. The contest stays close due to uncertain enthusiasm gaps, varying primary turnout trends, and base midterm rates near 47% of voting-eligible population; upcoming generic polls, economic indicators, or mobilization in swing states could tip probabilities toward higher engagement.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Ринок відкрито: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Обсяг
$6,132Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus favors 115-130 million House votes in the November 3, 2026 midterms, with top bins tightly clustered as recent special elections showed Democrats overperforming 2024 margins by double digits through stronger relative turnout, fueled by President Trump's approval dipping below 40% amid inflation concerns and foreign policy tensions. Generic ballot polls give Democrats a narrow edge, signaling competitive battleground races that historically elevate participation above 2022's 108 million total, akin to 2018's polarization-driven surge. The contest stays close due to uncertain enthusiasm gaps, varying primary turnout trends, and base midterm rates near 47% of voting-eligible population; upcoming generic polls, economic indicators, or mobilization in swing states could tip probabilities toward higher engagement.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Обсяг
$6,132Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 115-130 million House votes in the November 3, 2026 midterms, with top bins tightly clustered as recent special elections showed Democrats overperforming 2024 margins by double digits through stronger relative turnout, fueled by President Trump's approval dipping below 40% amid inflation concerns and foreign policy tensions. Generic ballot polls give Democrats a narrow edge, signaling competitive battleground races that historically elevate participation above 2022's 108 million total, akin to 2018's polarization-driven surge. The contest stays close due to uncertain enthusiasm gaps, varying primary turnout trends, and base midterm rates near 47% of voting-eligible population; upcoming generic polls, economic indicators, or mobilization in swing states could tip probabilities toward higher engagement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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