Nellie Pou, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds New Jersey’s 9th congressional district, rated D+2 by the Cook Political Voting Index and assessed as Likely Democratic. Pou secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Rosemary Pino advanced after a narrow primary victory. The district’s partisan composition, Pou’s incumbency, and limited recent polling or national developments favoring a Republican takeover underpin trader consensus around an 89.8% probability for the Democratic Party and 9.0% for the Republican Party. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with no major catalysts reported since the primaries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-09 House Election Winner
$20,862 Обс.
$20,862 Обс.
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
9%
$20,862 Обс.
$20,862 Обс.
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
9%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nellie Pou, the Democratic incumbent first elected in 2024, holds New Jersey’s 9th congressional district, rated D+2 by the Cook Political Voting Index and assessed as Likely Democratic. Pou secured the Democratic nomination without opposition in the June 2026 primary, while Republican nominee Rosemary Pino advanced after a narrow primary victory. The district’s partisan composition, Pou’s incumbency, and limited recent polling or national developments favoring a Republican takeover underpin trader consensus around an 89.8% probability for the Democratic Party and 9.0% for the Republican Party. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger, with no major catalysts reported since the primaries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено



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