NJ-09 remains a Democratic-leaning district with a Cook PVI of D+2 and an urban character centered in Bergen and Passaic counties. Incumbent Nellie Pou secured the Democratic nomination without significant primary opposition following her 2024 special-election victory to succeed the late Bill Pascrell. The Republican nominee, Rosemary Pino, emerged from a competitive June 2026 primary but enters the November general election in a seat where Democrats have held consistent advantages in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting structural headwinds for Republicans despite the district’s modest rightward shift in the 2024 presidential vote. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, assigning the Democratic outcome an overwhelming probability absent major late-cycle developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-09 House Election Winner
NJ-09 House Election Winner
$20,862 Обс.
$20,862 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
90%
Republican Party
9%
$20,862 Обс.
$20,862 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,188 Обс.
90%
Republican Party
$10,674 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NJ-09 remains a Democratic-leaning district with a Cook PVI of D+2 and an urban character centered in Bergen and Passaic counties. Incumbent Nellie Pou secured the Democratic nomination without significant primary opposition following her 2024 special-election victory to succeed the late Bill Pascrell. The Republican nominee, Rosemary Pino, emerged from a competitive June 2026 primary but enters the November general election in a seat where Democrats have held consistent advantages in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting structural headwinds for Republicans despite the district’s modest rightward shift in the 2024 presidential vote. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, assigning the Democratic outcome an overwhelming probability absent major late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ET
Обсяг
$20,862Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).NJ-09 remains a Democratic-leaning district with a Cook PVI of D+2 and an urban character centered in Bergen and Passaic counties. Incumbent Nellie Pou secured the Democratic nomination without significant primary opposition following her 2024 special-election victory to succeed the late Bill Pascrell. The Republican nominee, Rosemary Pino, emerged from a competitive June 2026 primary but enters the November general election in a seat where Democrats have held consistent advantages in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting structural headwinds for Republicans despite the district’s modest rightward shift in the 2024 presidential vote. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, assigning the Democratic outcome an overwhelming probability absent major late-cycle developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$20,862Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...NJ-09 remains a Democratic-leaning district with a Cook PVI of D+2 and an urban character centered in Bergen and Passaic counties. Incumbent Nellie Pou secured the Democratic nomination without significant primary opposition following her 2024 special-election victory to succeed the late Bill Pascrell. The Republican nominee, Rosemary Pino, emerged from a competitive June 2026 primary but enters the November general election in a seat where Democrats have held consistent advantages in recent cycles. Forecasters rate the contest Safe or Solid Democratic, reflecting structural headwinds for Republicans despite the district’s modest rightward shift in the 2024 presidential vote. Trader consensus aligns with these fundamentals, assigning the Democratic outcome an overwhelming probability absent major late-cycle developments.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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