Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 75 percent of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Peter Soule in the November general election. The seat covers portions of Santa Clara and San Mateo counties in the Silicon Valley region, where Democratic voter registration and past election margins create a strong structural advantage reflected in uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Trader consensus at 97.9 percent for Democrats aligns with this baseline and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals since the primary. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, though the district's partisan composition has historically insulated similar races from national swings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-16 House Election Winner
CA-16 House Election Winner
$106,983 Обс.
$106,983 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
2%
$106,983 Обс.
$106,983 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$52,842 Обс.
98%
Republican Party
$54,142 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 75 percent of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Peter Soule in the November general election. The seat covers portions of Santa Clara and San Mateo counties in the Silicon Valley region, where Democratic voter registration and past election margins create a strong structural advantage reflected in uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Trader consensus at 97.9 percent for Democrats aligns with this baseline and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals since the primary. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, though the district's partisan composition has historically insulated similar races from national swings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$106,983Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 75 percent of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Peter Soule in the November general election. The seat covers portions of Santa Clara and San Mateo counties in the Silicon Valley region, where Democratic voter registration and past election margins create a strong structural advantage reflected in uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Trader consensus at 97.9 percent for Democrats aligns with this baseline and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals since the primary. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, though the district's partisan composition has historically insulated similar races from national swings.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$106,983Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary with over 75 percent of the vote in California's 16th congressional district, facing Republican Peter Soule in the November general election. The seat covers portions of Santa Clara and San Mateo counties in the Silicon Valley region, where Democratic voter registration and past election margins create a strong structural advantage reflected in uniform "Solid Democratic" or "Safe Democratic" ratings from Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and other forecasters. Trader consensus at 97.9 percent for Democrats aligns with this baseline and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising signals since the primary. Late developments capable of shifting odds remain limited to unforeseen events such as candidate withdrawal due to health or scandal, though the district's partisan composition has historically insulated similar races from national swings.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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