California's 16th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential and statewide results that consistently favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds the seat following his 2024 victory and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising capacity, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Redistricting changes approved in 2025 further reinforced partisan lines without altering this seat's core composition. With the November 2026 general election still distant, trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee overwhelming probability absent a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift capable of overcoming the district's baseline voting patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-16 House Election Winner
CA-16 House Election Winner
$76,170 Обс.
$76,170 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$76,170 Обс.
$76,170 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$48,949 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$27,220 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 16th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential and statewide results that consistently favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds the seat following his 2024 victory and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising capacity, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Redistricting changes approved in 2025 further reinforced partisan lines without altering this seat's core composition. With the November 2026 general election still distant, trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee overwhelming probability absent a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift capable of overcoming the district's baseline voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
Обсяг
$76,170Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).California's 16th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential and statewide results that consistently favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds the seat following his 2024 victory and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising capacity, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Redistricting changes approved in 2025 further reinforced partisan lines without altering this seat's core composition. With the November 2026 general election still distant, trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee overwhelming probability absent a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift capable of overcoming the district's baseline voting patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$76,170Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:56 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...California's 16th congressional district maintains a pronounced Democratic tilt, reflected in recent presidential and statewide results that consistently favor the party by wide margins. Incumbent Democrat Sam Liccardo holds the seat following his 2024 victory and benefits from established name recognition, fundraising capacity, and the structural advantages of incumbency in a district rated solid or safe Democratic by multiple forecasters. Redistricting changes approved in 2025 further reinforced partisan lines without altering this seat's core composition. With the November 2026 general election still distant, trader consensus assigns the Democratic nominee overwhelming probability absent a major scandal, health issue, or national political shift capable of overcoming the district's baseline voting patterns.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання