The open seat in Texas’s 21st congressional district, vacated after incumbent Chip Roy retired to pursue the Republican nomination for state attorney general, remains a solidly Republican district based on its consistent electoral history and 2024 presidential results. Mark Teixeira secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with strong support from party leadership and endorsements, while Kristin Hook advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district’s exurban and suburban character, combined with longstanding Republican voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate at 77.5 percent implied probability ahead of the November general election. No major developments have shifted the race since the primaries concluded in May.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-21 House Election Winner
TX-21 House Election Winner
$35,509 Обс.
$35,509 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
78%
Democratic Party
16%
$35,509 Обс.
$35,509 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,578 Обс.
78%
Democratic Party
$15,931 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Texas’s 21st congressional district, vacated after incumbent Chip Roy retired to pursue the Republican nomination for state attorney general, remains a solidly Republican district based on its consistent electoral history and 2024 presidential results. Mark Teixeira secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with strong support from party leadership and endorsements, while Kristin Hook advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district’s exurban and suburban character, combined with longstanding Republican voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate at 77.5 percent implied probability ahead of the November general election. No major developments have shifted the race since the primaries concluded in May.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$35,509Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Texas’s 21st congressional district, vacated after incumbent Chip Roy retired to pursue the Republican nomination for state attorney general, remains a solidly Republican district based on its consistent electoral history and 2024 presidential results. Mark Teixeira secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with strong support from party leadership and endorsements, while Kristin Hook advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district’s exurban and suburban character, combined with longstanding Republican voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate at 77.5 percent implied probability ahead of the November general election. No major developments have shifted the race since the primaries concluded in May.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$35,509Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Texas’s 21st congressional district, vacated after incumbent Chip Roy retired to pursue the Republican nomination for state attorney general, remains a solidly Republican district based on its consistent electoral history and 2024 presidential results. Mark Teixeira secured the GOP nomination in the March primary with strong support from party leadership and endorsements, while Kristin Hook advanced as the Democratic nominee. The district’s exurban and suburban character, combined with longstanding Republican voting patterns, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican candidate at 77.5 percent implied probability ahead of the November general election. No major developments have shifted the race since the primaries concluded in May.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання