The Democratic Party holds a strong position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, reflected in trader consensus, due to its D+4 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Representative Hillary Scholten, first elected in 2022 after flipping the seat, secured reelection in 2024 by double digits and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic, citing the district's suburban shift in Kent, Ottawa, and Muskegon counties and the absence of competitive Republican challengers capable of narrowing the gap. This environment leaves few near-term catalysts to alter the current implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-03 House Election Winner
MI-03 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
71%
Republican Party
9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$478 Обс.
71%
Republican Party
$163 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a strong position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, reflected in trader consensus, due to its D+4 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Representative Hillary Scholten, first elected in 2022 after flipping the seat, secured reelection in 2024 by double digits and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic, citing the district's suburban shift in Kent, Ottawa, and Muskegon counties and the absence of competitive Republican challengers capable of narrowing the gap. This environment leaves few near-term catalysts to alter the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ET
Обсяг
$641Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a strong position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, reflected in trader consensus, due to its D+4 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Representative Hillary Scholten, first elected in 2022 after flipping the seat, secured reelection in 2024 by double digits and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic, citing the district's suburban shift in Kent, Ottawa, and Muskegon counties and the absence of competitive Republican challengers capable of narrowing the gap. This environment leaves few near-term catalysts to alter the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$641Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:59 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a strong position in Michigan's 3rd congressional district, reflected in trader consensus, due to its D+4 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential and House races. Incumbent Representative Hillary Scholten, first elected in 2022 after flipping the seat, secured reelection in 2024 by double digits and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 2026 primaries. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report rate the race Solid Democratic, citing the district's suburban shift in Kent, Ottawa, and Muskegon counties and the absence of competitive Republican challengers capable of narrowing the gap. This environment leaves few near-term catalysts to alter the current implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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