Republican Bill Huizenga, the eight-term incumbent, holds the edge in Michigan’s 4th congressional district due to its consistent Republican lean, with Donald Trump carrying it by six points in 2024 and Huizenga winning by roughly 12 points that year. Trader consensus at 63.5% for Republicans versus 35% for Democrats aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Republican. State Sen. Sean McCann, the leading Democratic candidate and endorsed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, has narrowed the gap in some polling and outraised the incumbent in early quarters, yet a March Republican-sponsored survey showed Huizenga ahead by six points. With primaries set for August 4, 2026, the race remains competitive amid national midterm dynamics, though the district’s voting history continues to anchor GOP positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-04 House Election Winner
MI-04 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
35%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$864 Обс.
64%
Democratic Party
$1,425 Обс.
35%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Bill Huizenga, the eight-term incumbent, holds the edge in Michigan’s 4th congressional district due to its consistent Republican lean, with Donald Trump carrying it by six points in 2024 and Huizenga winning by roughly 12 points that year. Trader consensus at 63.5% for Republicans versus 35% for Democrats aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Republican. State Sen. Sean McCann, the leading Democratic candidate and endorsed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, has narrowed the gap in some polling and outraised the incumbent in early quarters, yet a March Republican-sponsored survey showed Huizenga ahead by six points. With primaries set for August 4, 2026, the race remains competitive amid national midterm dynamics, though the district’s voting history continues to anchor GOP positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$2,289Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Bill Huizenga, the eight-term incumbent, holds the edge in Michigan’s 4th congressional district due to its consistent Republican lean, with Donald Trump carrying it by six points in 2024 and Huizenga winning by roughly 12 points that year. Trader consensus at 63.5% for Republicans versus 35% for Democrats aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Republican. State Sen. Sean McCann, the leading Democratic candidate and endorsed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, has narrowed the gap in some polling and outraised the incumbent in early quarters, yet a March Republican-sponsored survey showed Huizenga ahead by six points. With primaries set for August 4, 2026, the race remains competitive amid national midterm dynamics, though the district’s voting history continues to anchor GOP positioning.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,289Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Bill Huizenga, the eight-term incumbent, holds the edge in Michigan’s 4th congressional district due to its consistent Republican lean, with Donald Trump carrying it by six points in 2024 and Huizenga winning by roughly 12 points that year. Trader consensus at 63.5% for Republicans versus 35% for Democrats aligns with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Republican. State Sen. Sean McCann, the leading Democratic candidate and endorsed by Gov. Gretchen Whitmer, has narrowed the gap in some polling and outraised the incumbent in early quarters, yet a March Republican-sponsored survey showed Huizenga ahead by six points. With primaries set for August 4, 2026, the race remains competitive amid national midterm dynamics, though the district’s voting history continues to anchor GOP positioning.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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