Recent polling shows the MI-04 race between incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga and Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann remaining competitive, with margins under 6 points in surveys from late 2025 through June 2026. McCann’s inclusion in the DCCC Red to Blue program, strong fundraising, and appeal among undecided voters dissatisfied with the national Republican environment have narrowed the historical Republican advantage in this southwest Michigan district. The August 4 Democratic primary and November general election timeline keep uncertainty elevated, while Huizenga’s incumbency, established donor base, and the district’s R+3 lean provide a structural edge. Trader pricing near even odds reflects these offsetting factors, with further separation likely to hinge on primary outcomes, additional polling shifts, and national midterm dynamics through the fall.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-04 House Election Winner
MI-04 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
50%
Republican Party
41%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$578 Обс.
50%
Republican Party
$344 Обс.
41%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling shows the MI-04 race between incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga and Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann remaining competitive, with margins under 6 points in surveys from late 2025 through June 2026. McCann’s inclusion in the DCCC Red to Blue program, strong fundraising, and appeal among undecided voters dissatisfied with the national Republican environment have narrowed the historical Republican advantage in this southwest Michigan district. The August 4 Democratic primary and November general election timeline keep uncertainty elevated, while Huizenga’s incumbency, established donor base, and the district’s R+3 lean provide a structural edge. Trader pricing near even odds reflects these offsetting factors, with further separation likely to hinge on primary outcomes, additional polling shifts, and national midterm dynamics through the fall.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$922Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling shows the MI-04 race between incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga and Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann remaining competitive, with margins under 6 points in surveys from late 2025 through June 2026. McCann’s inclusion in the DCCC Red to Blue program, strong fundraising, and appeal among undecided voters dissatisfied with the national Republican environment have narrowed the historical Republican advantage in this southwest Michigan district. The August 4 Democratic primary and November general election timeline keep uncertainty elevated, while Huizenga’s incumbency, established donor base, and the district’s R+3 lean provide a structural edge. Trader pricing near even odds reflects these offsetting factors, with further separation likely to hinge on primary outcomes, additional polling shifts, and national midterm dynamics through the fall.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$922Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling shows the MI-04 race between incumbent Republican Bill Huizenga and Democratic state Sen. Sean McCann remaining competitive, with margins under 6 points in surveys from late 2025 through June 2026. McCann’s inclusion in the DCCC Red to Blue program, strong fundraising, and appeal among undecided voters dissatisfied with the national Republican environment have narrowed the historical Republican advantage in this southwest Michigan district. The August 4 Democratic primary and November general election timeline keep uncertainty elevated, while Huizenga’s incumbency, established donor base, and the district’s R+3 lean provide a structural edge. Trader pricing near even odds reflects these offsetting factors, with further separation likely to hinge on primary outcomes, additional polling shifts, and national midterm dynamics through the fall.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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