Republican incumbent Jay Obernolte holds a strong position in California's 23rd congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district carries an R+8 to R+9 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting. Obernolte faces multiple Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 2 contest, yet the general election landscape favors the Republican nominee due to the district's voter registration and historical performance. Trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party aligns with this structural edge and absence of recent developments that would alter the balance before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-23 House Election Winner
CA-23 House Election Winner
$10,284 Обс.
$10,284 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
86%
Democratic Party
14%
$10,284 Обс.
$10,284 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$7,220 Обс.
86%
Democratic Party
$3,065 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Jay Obernolte holds a strong position in California's 23rd congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district carries an R+8 to R+9 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting. Obernolte faces multiple Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 2 contest, yet the general election landscape favors the Republican nominee due to the district's voter registration and historical performance. Trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party aligns with this structural edge and absence of recent developments that would alter the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,284Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Jay Obernolte holds a strong position in California's 23rd congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district carries an R+8 to R+9 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting. Obernolte faces multiple Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 2 contest, yet the general election landscape favors the Republican nominee due to the district's voter registration and historical performance. Trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party aligns with this structural edge and absence of recent developments that would alter the balance before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-23 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$10,284Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Jay Obernolte holds a strong position in California's 23rd congressional district, rated Solid or Safe Republican by major forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. The district carries an R+8 to R+9 partisan voter index, reflecting consistent Republican advantages in recent presidential voting. Obernolte faces multiple Democratic primary challengers ahead of the June 2 contest, yet the general election landscape favors the Republican nominee due to the district's voter registration and historical performance. Trader consensus at 85% for the Republican Party aligns with this structural edge and absence of recent developments that would alter the balance before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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