Michigan's 7th congressional district remains one of the most competitive House races heading into the November 3 general election, with first-term Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing Democratic nominee William Lawrence. Barrett secured the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin in what had been a Democratic-leaning district previously held by Elissa Slotkin. Lawrence, a progressive activist, prevailed in the August 4 Democratic primary over higher-profile challengers. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district's swing character, historical voting patterns, and typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. A June poll showed Lawrence edging Barrett by two points, contributing to trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a modest lead in implied probability. No major campaign developments have shifted positioning since the primaries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-07 House Election Winner
MI-07 House Election Winner
$18,354 Обс.
$18,354 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
60%
Republican Party
40%
$18,354 Обс.
$18,354 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,208 Обс.
60%
Republican Party
$6,146 Обс.
40%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains one of the most competitive House races heading into the November 3 general election, with first-term Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing Democratic nominee William Lawrence. Barrett secured the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin in what had been a Democratic-leaning district previously held by Elissa Slotkin. Lawrence, a progressive activist, prevailed in the August 4 Democratic primary over higher-profile challengers. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district's swing character, historical voting patterns, and typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. A June poll showed Lawrence edging Barrett by two points, contributing to trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a modest lead in implied probability. No major campaign developments have shifted positioning since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ET
Обсяг
$18,354Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 7th congressional district remains one of the most competitive House races heading into the November 3 general election, with first-term Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing Democratic nominee William Lawrence. Barrett secured the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin in what had been a Democratic-leaning district previously held by Elissa Slotkin. Lawrence, a progressive activist, prevailed in the August 4 Democratic primary over higher-profile challengers. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district's swing character, historical voting patterns, and typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. A June poll showed Lawrence edging Barrett by two points, contributing to trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a modest lead in implied probability. No major campaign developments have shifted positioning since the primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$18,354Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:01 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 7th congressional district remains one of the most competitive House races heading into the November 3 general election, with first-term Republican incumbent Tom Barrett facing Democratic nominee William Lawrence. Barrett secured the seat in 2024 by a narrow margin in what had been a Democratic-leaning district previously held by Elissa Slotkin. Lawrence, a progressive activist, prevailed in the August 4 Democratic primary over higher-profile challengers. Race ratings from major forecasters classify the contest as a toss-up or lean Democratic, reflecting the district's swing character, historical voting patterns, and typical midterm dynamics favoring the opposition party. A June poll showed Lawrence edging Barrett by two points, contributing to trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a modest lead in implied probability. No major campaign developments have shifted positioning since the primaries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання