Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the GOP nomination in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District with 84% of the primary vote on March 10, solidifying trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III and independent Carl Boyanton. The district's R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Trump 68% in 2020, and Ezell's prior general election margins exceeding 47 points underpin this commanding lead, with ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball labeling it safely Republican. No major developments have emerged since the primaries, though a late scandal, health issue for Ezell, or extraordinary Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMS-04 House Election Winner
MS-04 House Election Winner
$19,268 Обс.
$19,268 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$19,268 Обс.
$19,268 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,328 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$12,939 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the GOP nomination in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District with 84% of the primary vote on March 10, solidifying trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III and independent Carl Boyanton. The district's R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Trump 68% in 2020, and Ezell's prior general election margins exceeding 47 points underpin this commanding lead, with ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball labeling it safely Republican. No major developments have emerged since the primaries, though a late scandal, health issue for Ezell, or extraordinary Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,268Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the GOP nomination in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District with 84% of the primary vote on March 10, solidifying trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III and independent Carl Boyanton. The district's R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Trump 68% in 2020, and Ezell's prior general election margins exceeding 47 points underpin this commanding lead, with ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball labeling it safely Republican. No major developments have emerged since the primaries, though a late scandal, health issue for Ezell, or extraordinary Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$19,268Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the GOP nomination in Mississippi's 4th Congressional District with 84% of the primary vote on March 10, solidifying trader consensus at 92.5% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democrat Jeffrey Hulum III and independent Carl Boyanton. The district's R+21 Cook Partisan Voter Index, Trump 68% in 2020, and Ezell's prior general election margins exceeding 47 points underpin this commanding lead, with ratings from Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball labeling it safely Republican. No major developments have emerged since the primaries, though a late scandal, health issue for Ezell, or extraordinary Democratic turnout surge could narrow the gap.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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