Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the party's nomination with 84 percent in the March 2026 primary, facing only limited opposition in the heavily Republican Mississippi 4th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, and forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Ezell won reelection in 2024 with nearly 74 percent of the vote. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a low-turnout primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for the Republican reflects these fundamentals. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national shift could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though no such factors have emerged.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMS-04 House Election Winner
MS-04 House Election Winner
$40,255 Обс.
$40,255 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
97%
Democratic Party
3%
$40,255 Обс.
$40,255 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$25,175 Обс.
97%
Democratic Party
$15,080 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the party's nomination with 84 percent in the March 2026 primary, facing only limited opposition in the heavily Republican Mississippi 4th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, and forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Ezell won reelection in 2024 with nearly 74 percent of the vote. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a low-turnout primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for the Republican reflects these fundamentals. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national shift could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$40,255Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the party's nomination with 84 percent in the March 2026 primary, facing only limited opposition in the heavily Republican Mississippi 4th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, and forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Ezell won reelection in 2024 with nearly 74 percent of the vote. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a low-turnout primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for the Republican reflects these fundamentals. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national shift could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though no such factors have emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$40,255Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Ezell secured the party's nomination with 84 percent in the March 2026 primary, facing only limited opposition in the heavily Republican Mississippi 4th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+21, and forecasters from the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Solid or Safe Republican. Ezell won reelection in 2024 with nearly 74 percent of the vote. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum III advanced from a low-turnout primary but faces structural disadvantages in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus at 96.8 percent for the Republican reflects these fundamentals. A late scandal, health event, or unprecedented national shift could theoretically alter the outcome before November 3, though no such factors have emerged.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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