Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to win Washington's 9th congressional district House seat, driven by its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index, long-serving incumbent Rep. Adam Smith seeking reelection with $847,000 cash-on-hand as of late March, and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. In the top-two primary set for August 4—following the May 8 filing deadline—Smith faces Democratic challenger Melissa Chaudhry, independent Kshama Sawant, and Republicans Janis Clark and C. Mark Greene, whose divided field limits GOP advancement potential given historical easy wins for Smith (66.9% last general). Late-breaking scenarios like an incumbent scandal, Smith retirement, high-profile Republican recruit, or a national midterm Republican wave could challenge this dominance, though district fundamentals strongly favor Democrats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоWA-09 House Election Winner
WA-09 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,981 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$5,641 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to win Washington's 9th congressional district House seat, driven by its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index, long-serving incumbent Rep. Adam Smith seeking reelection with $847,000 cash-on-hand as of late March, and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. In the top-two primary set for August 4—following the May 8 filing deadline—Smith faces Democratic challenger Melissa Chaudhry, independent Kshama Sawant, and Republicans Janis Clark and C. Mark Greene, whose divided field limits GOP advancement potential given historical easy wins for Smith (66.9% last general). Late-breaking scenarios like an incumbent scandal, Smith retirement, high-profile Republican recruit, or a national midterm Republican wave could challenge this dominance, though district fundamentals strongly favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,622Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to win Washington's 9th congressional district House seat, driven by its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index, long-serving incumbent Rep. Adam Smith seeking reelection with $847,000 cash-on-hand as of late March, and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. In the top-two primary set for August 4—following the May 8 filing deadline—Smith faces Democratic challenger Melissa Chaudhry, independent Kshama Sawant, and Republicans Janis Clark and C. Mark Greene, whose divided field limits GOP advancement potential given historical easy wins for Smith (66.9% last general). Late-breaking scenarios like an incumbent scandal, Smith retirement, high-profile Republican recruit, or a national midterm Republican wave could challenge this dominance, though district fundamentals strongly favor Democrats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$7,622Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Democratic Party at 92.5% to win Washington's 9th congressional district House seat, driven by its D+22 Cook Partisan Voting Index, long-serving incumbent Rep. Adam Smith seeking reelection with $847,000 cash-on-hand as of late March, and consistent Solid Democratic ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. In the top-two primary set for August 4—following the May 8 filing deadline—Smith faces Democratic challenger Melissa Chaudhry, independent Kshama Sawant, and Republicans Janis Clark and C. Mark Greene, whose divided field limits GOP advancement potential given historical easy wins for Smith (66.9% last general). Late-breaking scenarios like an incumbent scandal, Smith retirement, high-profile Republican recruit, or a national midterm Republican wave could challenge this dominance, though district fundamentals strongly favor Democrats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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