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Політика·Первинні

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

Thomas Chalifoux 61%

Marcus Carter 8.9%

Jorge Malavet 7%

Howard Steven Rance 5.3%

Polymarket

$19,840 Обс.

Thomas Chalifoux 61%

Marcus Carter 8.9%

Jorge Malavet 7%

Howard Steven Rance 5.3%

Polymarket

$19,840 Обс.

Thomas Chalifoux

$1,290 Обс.

50%

Marcus Carter

$587 Обс.

9%

Jorge Malavet

$2,328 Обс.

7%

Howard Steven Rance

$7,786 Обс.

5%

Justin Story

$7,848 Обс.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux leads the Republican primary for Florida’s 9th Congressional District, scheduled for August 18, 2026, as traders price in his established profile as the 2024 GOP nominee against incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. His background as a retired U.S. Army colonel, former Osceola County school board member, and local businessman provides name recognition and party infrastructure advantages ahead of the closed primary. The remaining candidates, including Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, Howard Steven Rance, and Justin Story, draw lower implied probabilities due to limited prior statewide or district-level visibility and later entry into the race. With qualifying deadlines approaching, no major endorsements, polling shifts, or campaign events have altered the current positioning in recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$19,840
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux leads the Republican primary for Florida’s 9th Congressional District, scheduled for August 18, 2026, as traders price in his established profile as the 2024 GOP nominee against incumbent Democrat Darren Soto. His background as a retired U.S. Army colonel, former Osceola County school board member, and local businessman provides name recognition and party infrastructure advantages ahead of the closed primary. The remaining candidates, including Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, Howard Steven Rance, and Justin Story, draw lower implied probabilities due to limited prior statewide or district-level visibility and later entry into the race. With qualifying deadlines approaching, no major endorsements, polling shifts, or campaign events have altered the current positioning in recent weeks.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$19,840
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Thomas Chalifoux» з 50%, далі «Marcus Carter» з 9%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $19.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 23, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» — «Thomas Chalifoux» з 50%. Наступний — «Marcus Carter» з 9%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.