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Політика·Первинні

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

icon for FL-09 Republican Primary Winner
Політика·Первинні

FL-09 Republican Primary Winner

Thomas Chalifoux 61%

Marcus Carter 9.9%

Jorge Malavet 8%

Howard Steven Rance 5.4%

Polymarket

$19,840 Обс.

Thomas Chalifoux 61%

Marcus Carter 9.9%

Jorge Malavet 8%

Howard Steven Rance 5.4%

Polymarket

$19,840 Обс.

Thomas Chalifoux

$1,290 Обс.

55%

Marcus Carter

$587 Обс.

10%

Jorge Malavet

$2,328 Обс.

8%

Howard Steven Rance

$7,786 Обс.

5%

Justin Story

$7,848 Обс.

4%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the August 18, 2026, Republican primary in Florida’s 9th Congressional District due to his status as the 2024 nominee, recent redistricting that shifted the seat toward stronger Republican performance, and his pledge of $3 million in personal funds. The former Army colonel and Osceola County School Board member has emphasized alignment with President Trump and economic priorities, giving him significant name recognition and organizational advantages over lesser-known challengers. Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, Howard Steven Rance, and Justin Story trail with minimal reported fundraising or endorsements as of early June, leaving limited pathways for momentum before primary voting. The race remains open to shifts from late endorsements, turnout among key Republican blocs, or unexpected campaign developments ahead of the August ballot.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$19,840
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Thomas Chalifoux holds a clear lead in trader consensus for the August 18, 2026, Republican primary in Florida’s 9th Congressional District due to his status as the 2024 nominee, recent redistricting that shifted the seat toward stronger Republican performance, and his pledge of $3 million in personal funds. The former Army colonel and Osceola County School Board member has emphasized alignment with President Trump and economic priorities, giving him significant name recognition and organizational advantages over lesser-known challengers. Marcus Carter, Jorge Malavet, Howard Steven Rance, and Justin Story trail with minimal reported fundraising or endorsements as of early June, leaving limited pathways for momentum before primary voting. The race remains open to shifts from late endorsements, turnout among key Republican blocs, or unexpected campaign developments ahead of the August ballot.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Обсяг
$19,840
Дата завершення
Aug 18, 2026
Ринок відкрито
Dec 23, 2025, 5:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.

Часті запитання

«FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» — це ринок прогнозів на Polymarket з 5 можливими результатами, де трейдери купують і продають акції залежно від того, що, на їхню думку, станеться. Поточний лідер — «Thomas Chalifoux» з 55%, далі «Marcus Carter» з 10%. Ціни відображають краудсорсингові ймовірності в реальному часі. Акції правильного результату погашаються по $1 кожна при вирішенні ринку.

Станом на сьогодні, «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» згенерував $19.8K загального обсягу торгів з моменту запуску ринку Dec 23, 2025. Цей рівень торгової активності відображає сильну залученість спільноти Polymarket та забезпечує, що поточні шанси базуються на глибокому пулі учасників ринку. Ви можете відстежувати рухи цін наживо та торгувати будь-яким результатом прямо на цій сторінці.

Щоб торгувати на «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner», перегляньте 5 доступних результатів на цій сторінці. Кожен результат відображає поточну ціну — ймовірність ринку. Оберіть результат, оберіть «Так» чи «Ні», введіть суму та натисніть «Торгувати». Якщо ваш вибір правильний при вирішенні, акції «Так» виплачують $1. Якщо ні — $0. Ви також можете продати акції в будь-який час до вирішення.

Поточний фаворит для «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» — «Thomas Chalifoux» з 55%. Наступний — «Marcus Carter» з 10%. Ці шанси оновлюються в реальному часі, коли трейдери купують і продають акції. Слідкуйте за змінами шансів з появою нової інформації.

Правила вирішення для «FL-09 Republican Primary Winner» точно визначають, що має статися для оголошення переможця — включаючи офіційні джерела даних. Ви можете переглянути повні критерії вирішення в розділі «Правила» на цій сторінці. Рекомендуємо уважно прочитати правила перед торгівлею.