Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding position in California's 13th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by redistricting that added portions of Stockton and shifted the seat toward a Democratic lean of roughly D+6. Gray advanced comfortably through the June 2 top-two primary with 42 percent of the vote against Republican Kevin Lincoln's 28 percent, reflecting the district's voter registration edge and Gray's 2024 narrow victory in the prior configuration. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic, consistent with trader consensus around 94 percent for the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could stem from national political swings, turnout among Latino voters in the Central Valley, or localized issues such as agriculture, water policy, and border security that Lincoln has emphasized in his campaign.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-13 House Election Winner
CA-13 House Election Winner
$16,049 Обс.
$16,049 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$16,049 Обс.
$16,049 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,134 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$6,915 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding position in California's 13th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by redistricting that added portions of Stockton and shifted the seat toward a Democratic lean of roughly D+6. Gray advanced comfortably through the June 2 top-two primary with 42 percent of the vote against Republican Kevin Lincoln's 28 percent, reflecting the district's voter registration edge and Gray's 2024 narrow victory in the prior configuration. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic, consistent with trader consensus around 94 percent for the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could stem from national political swings, turnout among Latino voters in the Central Valley, or localized issues such as agriculture, water policy, and border security that Lincoln has emphasized in his campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,049Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding position in California's 13th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by redistricting that added portions of Stockton and shifted the seat toward a Democratic lean of roughly D+6. Gray advanced comfortably through the June 2 top-two primary with 42 percent of the vote against Republican Kevin Lincoln's 28 percent, reflecting the district's voter registration edge and Gray's 2024 narrow victory in the prior configuration. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic, consistent with trader consensus around 94 percent for the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could stem from national political swings, turnout among Latino voters in the Central Valley, or localized issues such as agriculture, water policy, and border security that Lincoln has emphasized in his campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$16,049Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:45 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Gray holds a commanding position in California's 13th congressional district heading into the November 3, 2026 general election, backed by redistricting that added portions of Stockton and shifted the seat toward a Democratic lean of roughly D+6. Gray advanced comfortably through the June 2 top-two primary with 42 percent of the vote against Republican Kevin Lincoln's 28 percent, reflecting the district's voter registration edge and Gray's 2024 narrow victory in the prior configuration. Forecasters rate the race Lean or Likely Democratic, consistent with trader consensus around 94 percent for the Democratic nominee. Potential shifts could stem from national political swings, turnout among Latino voters in the Central Valley, or localized issues such as agriculture, water policy, and border security that Lincoln has emphasized in his campaign.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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